Grêmio 3–2 Santos
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.9 – 1.3
- Goals
- 3 – 2
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 46%.
Grêmio won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 1.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Bontempo, 64.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Carlos Vinícius +21.0, Gabriel Bontempo +17.1, Gabriel Barbosa +16.2.
Well below it: Weverton −15.3, Gustavinho −14.9, Gabriel Brazão −12.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 21 May 2026 | W 2–0 | v Palestino |
| 17 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at Bahia |
| 14 May 2026 | W 3–0 | at Confiança |
| 10 May 2026 | L 0–1 | v Flamengo |
| 5 May 2026 | W 3–0 | at Deportivo Riestra |
Santos
| 20 May 2026 | D 2–2 | v San Lorenzo |
| 17 May 2026 | L 0–3 | v Coritiba |
| 13 May 2026 | W 2–0 | at Coritiba |
| 10 May 2026 | W 2–0 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 6 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at Recoleta FC |
Head to head
| 2 Oct 2025 | Santos 1–1 Grêmio |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tetê | 34 | 71.0 | – |
| Carlos Vinícius | 83 | 63.5 | +21.0 |
| Cristian Pavón | 89 | 57.5 | +3.7 |
| Francis Amuzu | 90 | 55.9 | +14.7 |
| Marcos Rocha | 1 | 52.8 | – |
| Arthur | 45 | 50.7 | +1.5 |
| Luis Guedes | 90 | 47.2 | – |
| Wagner Leonardo | 13 | 47.1 | – |
| Leonel Pérez | 90 | 45.5 | +3.8 |
| Erick Noriega | 45 | 43.6 | −4.1 |
| Caio Paulista | 90 | 43.5 | +1.4 |
| Weverton | 90 | 40.7 | −15.3 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 90 | 38.2 | −6.8 |
| Viery | 90 | 36.2 | −10.6 |
| José Enamorado | 56 | 35.8 | −1.5 |
Santos
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bontempo | 90 | 64.5 | +17.1 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 88 | 64.5 | +16.2 |
| Lucas Veríssimo | 90 | 54.0 | +8.2 |
| Samuel Mendes | 8 | 53.6 | – |
| Gonzalo Escobar | 90 | 49.3 | +8.1 |
| Lautaro Díaz | 8 | 48.6 | – |
| Miguelito | 88 | 48.5 | −2.7 |
| Willian Arão | 82 | 45.8 | +2.1 |
| Adonis Frías | 90 | 45.7 | −2.1 |
| Rony | 82 | 44.9 | +0.7 |
| Igor Vinícius | 89 | 42.0 | −1.1 |
| Gabriel Brazão | 90 | 33.9 | −12.5 |
| Moisés | 8 | 31.2 | – |
| Gustavinho | 84 | 30.3 | −14.9 |
| Robinho Júnior | 8 | 28.1 | – |
| Davizinho | 1 | 0.0 | – |