Bahia 1–1 Grêmio
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.0 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 1.9 – 0.2
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Bahia favourites at 62%.
Bahia deserved more from the draw, creating 1.9 xG to 0.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Willian, 61.9 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Willian +16.1.
Well below it: Gilberto −19.0, Luciano Juba −16.5, Everton Ribeiro −13.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Bahia
| 14 May 2026 | L 1–2 | at Remo |
| 10 May 2026 | L 1–2 | v Cruzeiro |
| 3 May 2026 | D 2–2 | at São Paulo |
| 25 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | v Santos |
| 22 Apr 2026 | L 1–3 | v Remo |
Grêmio
| 14 May 2026 | W 3–0 | at Confiança |
| 10 May 2026 | L 0–1 | v Flamengo |
| 5 May 2026 | W 3–0 | at Deportivo Riestra |
| 2 May 2026 | D 0–0 | at Athletico |
| 30 Apr 2026 | D 0–0 | at Palestino |
Head to head
| 19 Oct 2025 | Bahia 4–0 Grêmio |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Sanabria | 30 | 88.3 | – |
| Caio Suassuna | 14 | 80.6 | – |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 23 | 71.2 | – |
| Everaldo | 23 | 50.3 | – |
| David Duarte | 90 | 50.0 | −1.9 |
| Kanu | 90 | 49.9 | +4.6 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 90 | 46.1 | −4.1 |
| Willian José | 67 | 45.7 | −8.7 |
| Ademir | 60 | 43.4 | −1.6 |
| Luciano Juba | 60 | 41.9 | −16.5 |
| Erick | 90 | 41.5 | −8.0 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 67 | 41.4 | −13.7 |
| Léo Vieira | 90 | 40.8 | −10.9 |
| Erick Pulga | 90 | 38.5 | −8.4 |
| Gilberto | 84 | 31.0 | −19.0 |
| Iago Borduchi | 30 | 18.2 | – |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willian | 45 | 61.9 | +16.1 |
| Weverton | 90 | 59.3 | +5.2 |
| Viery | 90 | 47.4 | −0.3 |
| Francis Amuzu | 30 | 45.7 | – |
| Erick Noriega | 78 | 44.3 | −3.9 |
| Wagner Leonardo | 90 | 43.6 | −2.9 |
| José Enamorado | 60 | 42.3 | +4.7 |
| Leonel Pérez | 90 | 40.3 | −2.4 |
| Marcos Rocha | 60 | 40.1 | −1.3 |
| Gabriel Mec | 45 | 39.3 | −3.4 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 60 | 38.6 | −5.8 |
| Luis Guedes | 90 | 37.5 | – |
| Martin Braithwaite | 30 | 37.1 | – |
| Pedro Gabriel | 90 | 35.5 | −12.0 |
| Zortéa | 12 | 34.7 | – |