Cruzeiro 0–1 Botafogo
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 19% · Standout: William Furtado scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Jonathan Jesus
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 1.6 – 0.4
- Goals
- 0 – 1
Footybot made Cruzeiro favourites at 57%.
Botafogo won although Cruzeiro made the better chances (1.6 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Warleson, 67.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Warleson +19.1, Álvaro Montoro +18.5, Gabriel Justino +15.2.
Well below it: Gabriel Rojas −16.1.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Cruzeiro
| 23 Jul 2026 | W 2–1 | at Internacional |
| 31 May 2026 | D 1–1 | v Fluminense |
| 29 May 2026 | W 4–0 | v Barcelona SC Guayaquil |
| 24 May 2026 | W 2–1 | v Chapecoense |
| 20 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at Boca Juniors |
Botafogo
| 23 Jul 2026 | D 0–0 | v Vitória |
| 16 Jul 2026 | W 2–1 | v Santos |
| 30 May 2026 | L 1–2 | at Bahia |
| 27 May 2026 | W 3–1 | at Caracas F.C. |
| 23 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at São Paulo |
Head to head
| 30 Jan 2026 | Botafogo 4–0 Cruzeiro |
| 4 Dec 2025 | Cruzeiro 2–2 Botafogo |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Botafogo 0–2 Cruzeiro |
Cruzeiro
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Furtado | 13 | 100.0 | – |
| Jonathan Jesus | 90 | 61.5 | +7.4 |
| Otávio Costa | 90 | 50.4 | −1.3 |
| Luis Sinisterra | 39 | 49.4 | – |
| João Marcelo | 30 | 45.7 | – |
| Lucas Romero | 90 | 45.1 | +0.4 |
| Fabrício Bruno | 60 | 42.9 | −5.3 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 90 | 42.9 | −2.3 |
| Kaio Jorge | 90 | 42.8 | −3.8 |
| Keny Arroyo | 30 | 42.8 | – |
| Matheus Henrique | 90 | 42.7 | −3.9 |
| Fagner | 77 | 41.6 | +0.1 |
| Wanderson | 51 | 41.4 | −2.9 |
| Marquinhos | 60 | 36.8 | – |
| Gabriel Rojas | 77 | 32.8 | −16.1 |
| Kauã Moraes | 13 | 7.2 | – |
Botafogo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warleson | 90 | 67.7 | +19.1 |
| Santiago Rodríguez | 8 | 64.4 | – |
| Álvaro Montoro | 82 | 63.1 | +18.5 |
| Kadir Barría | 8 | 62.4 | – |
| Gabriel Justino | 90 | 60.0 | +15.2 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 90 | 51.5 | +1.9 |
| Alex Telles | 89 | 48.8 | +6.8 |
| Matheus Martins | 89 | 45.3 | +2.5 |
| Cristian Medina | 90 | 44.2 | −1.2 |
| Vitinho | 90 | 43.7 | +6.0 |
| Danilo Santos | 69 | 42.0 | −5.0 |
| Kauan Toledo | 21 | 40.7 | – |
| Arthur Cabral | 82 | 40.0 | −6.5 |
| Huguinho | 90 | 39.8 | −5.3 |
| Lucas Villalba | 1 | 0.0 | – |
| Marçal | 1 | 0.0 | – |