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Cruzeiro

João Marcelo

Defender · Cruzeiro · 26 · Brazil

2 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
58.6
Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 16 matches
Last 5 weeks
61.2
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€3.1M
−€1.0M (−25%) since 12 Mar 2026 on Transfermarkt
estimate, 22 Oct 2026
Born
13 Jun 2000
Height
189 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
31 Dec 2028
Wikipedia views
613 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

22–28 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

12 of 66 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 59.1 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 2026215264.455.361.2
6–12 Oct 202619059.655.059.6
15–21 Sep 202619060.254.760.2
8–14 Sep 202619668.853.768.8
1–7 Sep 202619050.554.250.7
25–31 Aug 202619069.252.969.2
18–24 Aug 202619058.952.460.7
11–17 Aug 202619058.451.858.4
4–10 Aug 202619055.951.449.6
21–27 Jul 202613045.251.845.1
19–25 May 20261956.951.856.8
5–11 May 2026112100.051.1100.0
28 Apr – 4 May 202612056.051.155.9
21–27 Apr 202619063.849.463.8
10–16 Feb 202619044.650.144.6
3–9 Feb 202619050.650.050.6
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202611250.250.050.1

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: +8.0 a week above expectation.

40.050.060.070.03 Feb21 Apr11 Aug25 Aug8 Sep6 OctScore 64.4Expected 55.3
2

On the breakout watchlist

Underlying 58.4 over 1,231 minutes in the last year, up 2.8 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 6.5× below similar performers. Valued €3.1M against €26.0M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Current estimate €3.1M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Transfermarkt €3.0M −€1.0M (−25%) since 12 Mar 2026 26 May 2026 · valuations up to July 2026
Footybot's prediction €4.1M +31% a year on from €3.1M Up: low value for the level, playing above the level. Down: few minutes.  On the underpriced list Experimental.
0€2.0M€4.0M€6.0M202120222023202420252026€3.0M€3.1M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€3.1M
26 May 2026Transfermarkt€3.0M
12 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€4.0M
10 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€4.5M
6 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€5.5M
9 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€5.5M
27 Sep 2024Transfermarkt€4.0M
17 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€1.5M
28 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€1.0M
11 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€700k
28 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€700k
28 Dec 2022Transfermarkt€550k
27 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€550k
1 Apr 2022Transfermarkt€700k
29 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€800k
2 Nov 2020Transfermarkt€300k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

What the score is made of

Brasileiro Serie A 2026: each part per 90 minutes against the average defender in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shooting +0.03
  • Creating −0.45
  • Progressing −0.23
  • Keeping the ball +0.77
  • Defending +0.46
  • Aerial +0.39
  • Finishing +0.52

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

01.0K2.0K3.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Marc Bartra Real Betis · 35 · cheaper64.2€930k97%Compare
Ignácio Fluminense · 2956.1€3.6M96%Compare
Tiago Djaló Beşiktaş JK · 2652.9€8.6M95%Compare
Chibuike Nwaiwu Trabzonspor · 2355.5€16.5M95%Compare
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Stade Rennais · 2061.5€21.0M94%Compare
Ferro Estoril Praia · 29 · cheaper51.9€965k94%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of João Marcelo.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Brasileiro Serie A 2026Brasileirão Série ACruzeiro161,21058.657.9
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro22188.488.5

Latest matches

18 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
18 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioW 4–289100.220.0065.4
13 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Red Bull BragantinoL 2–463000.090.0162.9
8 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 2–09000–0.1759.6
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat VitóriaW 3–19000–0.0260.2
13 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat SantosL 1–29600–0.0168.8
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série AAthleticoW 3–190000.030.0150.5
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaL 1–39000–0.0169.2
22 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AFlamengoW 2–190000.230.0158.9
16 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansW 2–19000–0.0258.4
9 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 3–190100.200.0155.9
All 18 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
18 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioW 4–289100.220.0065.4
13 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Red Bull BragantinoL 2–463000.090.0162.9
8 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 2–09000–0.1759.6
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat VitóriaW 3–19000–0.0260.2
13 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat SantosL 1–29600–0.0168.8
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série AAthleticoW 3–190000.030.0150.5
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaL 1–39000–0.0169.2
22 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AFlamengoW 2–190000.230.0158.9
16 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansW 2–19000–0.0258.4
9 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 3–190100.200.0155.9
26 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoL 0–13000–0.0145.2
20 May 2026Copa Libertadoresat Boca JuniorsD 1–1900––56.9
7 May 2026Copa Libertadoresat Universidad CatólicaD 0–01200–0.00100.0
3 May 2026Brasileirão Série AAtlético MineiroL 1–32000–0.0156.0
25 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoW 1–09000–0.0063.8
11 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolD 2–29000–0.0044.6
6 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série ACoritibaL 1–29000–0.0250.6
30 Jan 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoL 0–41200–0.0050.2