Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 21 Sep 2025

Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Standout: Gabriel Martinelli scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 0.9
Actual xG
0.9 – 0.9
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 63%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.9 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Martinelli, 100.0 in 10′.

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Gabriel Martinelli Forward10100.20100.0
Cristhian Mosquera Defender100–100.0
Bukayo Saka Forward45000.0477.1
William Saliba Defender90000.1074.7
Declan Rice Midfielder9000–63.0
Mikel Merino Midfielder4500–57.8
Eberechi Eze Midfielder45010.1157.3
Jurriën Timber Defender8000–56.3
Riccardo Calafiori Defender90000.1355.6
Gabriel Magalhães Defender9000–53.3
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder89000.0650.4
David Raya Goalkeeper9000–49.3
Leandro Trossard Forward84000.1047.2
Ethan Nwaneri Midfielder1600–43.8
Viktor Gyökeres Forward9000–37.6
Noni Madueke Forward45000.1536.2

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Jérémy Doku Midfielder87000.2292.1
Nico González Midfielder1400–91.7
Joško Gvardiol Defender9000–71.3
Erling Haaland Forward76100.5270.2
Rodri Midfielder90000.0662.5
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder90010.0659.9
Matheus Nunes Defender4500–59.8
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper9000–55.7
Nico O'Reilly Defender8700–53.6
John Stones Defender1300–51.6
Bernardo Silva Midfielder9000–48.5
Phil Foden Midfielder6800–44.9
Nathan Aké Defender2200–42.8
Rúben Dias Defender9000–42.1
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender4500–41.8
Sávio Midfielder1300–39.3