Vitória SC 1–0 CD Nacional
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 3.1 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Vitória SC favourites at 57%.
Vitória SC won and made the better chances: 3.1 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matheus Dias, 60.1 in 80′.
Well above their usual level: Matheus Dias +16.0, Miguel Baeza +11.5.
Well below it: Tony Strata −16.6, João Mendes −16.3, Samu −15.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vitória SC
| 14 Aug 2026 | L 2–3 | at Sporting CP |
| 8 Aug 2026 | L 0–1 | v FC Arouca |
| 16 May 2026 | L 0–2 | at CD Nacional |
| 11 May 2026 | L 0–1 | v Casa Pia |
| 4 May 2026 | L 1–5 | at Sporting CP |
CD Nacional
| 16 Aug 2026 | W 2–0 | v Estoril Praia |
| 10 Aug 2026 | D 2–2 | at Santa Clara |
| 16 May 2026 | W 2–0 | v Vitória SC |
| 11 May 2026 | L 0–2 | at Santa Clara |
| 2 May 2026 | L 1–2 | v AVS - Futebol SAD |
Head to head
| 16 May 2026 | CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional |
Vitória SC
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Silva | 78 | 51.9 | +5.6 |
| Oliwier Zych | 90 | 51.3 | −2.2 |
| Óscar Rivas | 90 | 46.2 | −1.8 |
| Lohann Doucet | 63 | 43.8 | – |
| Miguel Nogueira | 63 | 41.9 | −2.1 |
| Thiago Balieiro | 90 | 40.8 | −7.8 |
| Alioune Ndoye | 90 | 40.0 | −8.0 |
| Samu | 90 | 37.8 | −15.4 |
| Oumar Camara | 27 | 37.0 | – |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | 72 | 36.7 | −10.5 |
| Telmo Arcanjo | 12 | 36.5 | – |
| Beni Mukendi | 27 | 33.6 | – |
| Tony Strata | 90 | 33.2 | −16.6 |
| João Mendes | 90 | 28.2 | −16.3 |
| Matija Mitrović | 18 | 26.7 | – |
CD Nacional
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Dias | 80 | 60.1 | +16.0 |
| Allen Obando | 10 | 57.7 | – |
| Matchoi Djaló | 10 | 53.1 | – |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 53.1 | +1.4 |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 52.9 | +4.1 |
| Renato Marin | 90 | 52.5 | +7.9 |
| Miguel Baeza | 56 | 52.4 | +11.5 |
| Filipe Soares | 90 | 51.4 | +2.6 |
| Williams Kokolo | 34 | 45.3 | – |
| Daniel Júnior | 90 | 42.1 | −8.1 |
| Wesley Gasolina | 56 | 41.2 | – |
| Liziero | 68 | 40.2 | −5.8 |
| Pablo Messias Cardozo | 90 | 40.0 | −2.3 |
| Stavros Gavriel | 22 | 35.2 | – |
| Markus Jensen | 80 | 33.5 | – |
| Daniel De la Cruz | 34 | 33.4 | – |