Chapecoense 1–0 São Paulo
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 0.6 – 1.1
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Chapecoense favourites at 42%.
Chapecoense won although São Paulo made the better chances (1.1 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Sabino, 76.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Sabino +31.6, Marcos Antônio +26.8, Iago Borduchi +21.6.
Well below it: Marcinho −11.4, Bruno Pacheco −8.7, Camilo −8.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Chapecoense
| 16 Aug 2026 | D 3–3 | v Bahia |
| 8 Aug 2026 | L 1–2 | at Coritiba |
| 5 Aug 2026 | L 0–2 | at Cruzeiro |
| 2 Aug 2026 | D 0–0 | v Cruzeiro |
| 25 Jul 2026 | D 2–2 | at Santos |
São Paulo
| 19 Aug 2026 | W 3–1 | v Bolívar |
| 16 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | v Coritiba |
| 12 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | at Bolívar |
| 8 Aug 2026 | L 1–2 | at Grêmio |
| 26 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | at Flamengo |
Head to head
| 12 Mar 2026 | São Paulo 2–0 Chapecoense |
Chapecoense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | 90 | 63.1 | +10.6 |
| Giovanni Augusto | 74 | 52.8 | +1.4 |
| Fernando | 16 | 50.4 | – |
| Kauan | 90 | 49.2 | – |
| Everton | 25 | 46.2 | – |
| Maurício Garcez | 32 | 44.1 | – |
| Franco Rossi | 16 | 44.0 | – |
| Tulio Eduardo | 74 | 42.2 | – |
| Bruno Pacheco | 90 | 40.4 | −8.7 |
| Camilo | 90 | 40.0 | −8.0 |
| Bruno Matias | 16 | 39.8 | – |
| Yago Felipe | 74 | 38.6 | −3.1 |
| Eduardo Doma | 90 | 38.1 | −7.0 |
| Marcinho | 90 | 36.1 | −11.4 |
| Dylan Borrero | 58 | 33.0 | – |
| Heitor | 65 | 24.7 | – |
São Paulo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabino | 90 | 76.5 | +31.6 |
| Marcos Antônio | 45 | 75.3 | +26.8 |
| Domingos Duarte | 90 | 68.6 | +20.6 |
| Newton | 25 | 64.0 | – |
| Ferreirinha | 24 | 62.7 | – |
| Iago Borduchi | 90 | 62.4 | +21.6 |
| Rafael | 90 | 55.9 | +8.8 |
| Artur | 90 | 52.0 | +7.8 |
| Pablo Maia | 66 | 50.9 | +3.5 |
| Danielzinho | 45 | 50.3 | +4.8 |
| Cauly | 76 | 49.3 | +0.7 |
| Pedro Ferreira | 14 | 47.7 | – |
| Lucas Ramon | 65 | 45.6 | +3.2 |
| Luciano | 90 | 43.6 | −5.9 |
| Gustavo Santana | 59 | 40.3 | – |
| Jonathan Calleri | 31 | 38.6 | – |