Grêmio 2–1 São Paulo
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.8 – 1.7
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 49%.
Grêmio won a close one on the chances: 1.8 xG to 1.7.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Wallace, 60.0 in 97′.
Well above their usual level: Marcos Antônio +8.8.
Well below it: Juan Nardoni −17.9, Marlon −9.9, Robert Arboleda −8.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 5 Aug 2026 | W 1–0 | v Mirassol |
| 2 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | at Mirassol |
| 30 Jul 2026 | L 0–1 | v Bolívar |
| 26 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | v Fluminense |
| 23 Jul 2026 | L 2–3 | at Bolívar |
São Paulo
| 26 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | at Flamengo |
| 23 Jul 2026 | L 1–2 | v Athletico |
| 31 May 2026 | L 0–1 | at Remo |
| 26 May 2026 | W 2–0 | v Boston River |
| 23 May 2026 | D 1–1 | v Botafogo |
Head to head
| 12 Feb 2026 | São Paulo 2–0 Grêmio |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Grêmio 2–0 São Paulo |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wallace | 97 | 60.0 | +6.2 |
| Cristian Pavón | 91 | 57.5 | +6.2 |
| Weverton | 97 | 53.9 | +3.2 |
| Walter Kannemann | 6 | 53.8 | – |
| Carlos Vinícius | 78 | 50.0 | +3.8 |
| Gustavo Martins | 97 | 47.0 | −5.7 |
| Erick Noriega | 97 | 46.9 | +3.6 |
| Mathias Villasanti | 91 | 43.1 | −1.2 |
| Jovane Cabral | 45 | 43.0 | −6.2 |
| Leonel Pérez | 6 | 40.7 | – |
| Francis Amuzu | 52 | 38.1 | −6.6 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 19 | 37.9 | – |
| Dodi | 43 | 36.4 | – |
| Diego Caito | 97 | 35.6 | −6.7 |
| Marlon | 97 | 31.8 | −9.9 |
| Juan Nardoni | 54 | 23.7 | −17.9 |
São Paulo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cauly | 26 | 62.2 | – |
| Marcos Antônio | 97 | 55.4 | +8.8 |
| Ferreirinha | 71 | 52.7 | +2.8 |
| Luciano | 97 | 49.7 | −3.9 |
| Rafael | 97 | 49.7 | +2.6 |
| Pablo Maia | 89 | 49.3 | +4.1 |
| Danielzinho | 70 | 46.2 | +0.8 |
| Robert Arboleda | 97 | 45.1 | −8.8 |
| Gustavo Santana | 8 | 42.9 | – |
| Luis Osorio | 97 | 40.9 | −7.4 |
| Wendell | 89 | 40.3 | −4.6 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 77 | 40.2 | −1.7 |
| André Silva | 20 | 39.1 | – |
| Lucas Ramon | 97 | 38.7 | −6.6 |
| Victor Sá | 8 | 38.4 | – |
| Damián Bobadilla | 27 | 30.0 | – |