Grêmio 1–0 Mirassol
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 0.8
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 45%.
Grêmio won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 0.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Knesowitsch, 61.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Shaylon +14.6, Gabriel Knesowitsch +12.6, Fernandinho +11.6.
Well below it: Gustavo Martins −14.6, Diego Caito −14.6, Alex Muralha −13.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 2 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | at Mirassol |
| 30 Jul 2026 | L 0–1 | v Bolívar |
| 26 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | v Fluminense |
| 23 Jul 2026 | L 2–3 | at Bolívar |
| 17 Jul 2026 | L 1–2 | at Mirassol |
Mirassol
| 2 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | v Grêmio |
| 29 Jul 2026 | W 2–1 | v Remo |
| 25 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 17 Jul 2026 | W 2–1 | v Grêmio |
| 30 May 2026 | L 0–1 | at Athletico |
Head to head
| 2 Aug 2026 | Mirassol 1–1 Grêmio |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Mirassol 2–1 Grêmio |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Grêmio 0–1 Mirassol |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Amuzu | 58 | 53.6 | +10.7 |
| Cristian Pavón | 90 | 50.1 | −4.2 |
| Weverton | 90 | 49.0 | −1.9 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 81 | 47.8 | +1.7 |
| Wallace | 90 | 47.8 | – |
| Erick Noriega | 82 | 45.2 | +1.9 |
| Jovane Cabral | 32 | 43.2 | – |
| Leonel Pérez | 8 | 42.9 | – |
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 38.8 | −14.6 |
| Juan Nardoni | 66 | 37.5 | −4.9 |
| Marlon | 90 | 37.3 | −4.8 |
| Mathias Villasanti | 90 | 35.7 | −10.6 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 9 | 34.0 | – |
| Dodi | 24 | 32.1 | – |
| Diego Caito | 90 | 31.8 | −14.6 |
Mirassol
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Moura | 24 | 75.5 | – |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | 90 | 61.5 | +12.6 |
| Shaylon | 45 | 53.9 | +14.6 |
| Fernandinho | 45 | 53.9 | +11.6 |
| João Victor | 90 | 51.9 | +3.5 |
| Igor Formiga | 90 | 48.2 | +0.6 |
| Reinaldo | 90 | 47.6 | +7.8 |
| Denilson | 45 | 43.0 | −1.4 |
| Bruno Santos | 90 | 40.6 | −3.5 |
| Japa | 63 | 40.3 | −7.2 |
| Alex Muralha | 90 | 38.2 | −13.5 |
| André Luis | 27 | 38.0 | – |
| Wallisson Luiz | 66 | 37.6 | −3.6 |
| Alesson | 57 | 36.4 | −7.0 |
| Edson Carioca | 45 | 33.3 | −9.6 |
| Gustavo Silva | 33 | 32.9 | – |