Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 12 Feb 2026

São Paulo 2–0 Grêmio

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made São Paulo favourites at 51%.

São Paulo won and made the better chances: 4.7 xG to 0.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Moura, 57.0 in 71′.

Well below it: Carlos Vinícius −18.3, Lucas Ramon −12.4, Enzo Díaz −11.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
29 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Vitória Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v Internacional Brasileirão Série A
27 Nov 2025	L 0–6	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A

5 Feb 2026	W 5–3	v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
28 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	W 4–0	at Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
26 Nov 2025	W 3–2	v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

16 Oct 2025	Grêmio 2–0 São Paulo Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ferreirinha Midfielder	12	0	0	0.02	81.3	–
Nahuel Ferraresi Defender	19	0	0	–	65.2	–
Lucas Moura Forward	71	1	0	0.79	57.0	+4.2
Alan Javier Franco Defender	70	0	0	0.03	52.6	+7.2
Sabino Defender	90	0	0	–	50.9	+1.5
Rafael Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.7	−4.0
Jonathan Calleri Forward	90	1	0	1.03	49.5	–
Marcos Antônio Midfielder	85	0	0	0.71	47.4	+1.2
Luciano Forward	85	0	1	0.91	46.9	−5.0
Gonzalo Tapia Forward	20	0	0	0.90	43.2	–
Pablo Maia Midfielder	58	0	0	0.15	41.9	−1.8
Danielzinho Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	39.4	−7.6
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder	32	0	0	–	38.1	–
Pedro Ferreira Midfielder	12	0	0	–	36.2	–
Lucas Ramon Defender	90	0	0	0.04	35.8	−12.4
Enzo Díaz Defender	90	0	0	0.12	34.7	−11.1

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Cristian Pavón Midfielder	22	–	75.3	–
Erick Noriega Midfielder	90	0.02	47.9	+2.0
Willian Midfielder	50	–	46.8	−10.1
Tetê Forward	68	0.08	46.8	−6.8
Marlon Defender	90	–	46.7	−4.1
Arthur Midfielder	90	–	45.7	−3.4
Edenilson Midfielder	40	–	44.3	–
José Enamorado Forward	22	0.03	43.3	–
André Henrique Forward	22	0.09	43.3	–
Weverton Goalkeeper	90	–	42.5	−5.5
Fabián Balbuena Defender	90	–	42.0	−6.0
Gustavo Martins Defender	38	–	40.4	–
João Pedro Defender	68	–	39.0	−3.3
Carlos Vinícius Forward	68	0.04	38.9	−18.3
Wagner Leonardo Defender	47	–	38.9	−8.3
Francis Amuzu Midfielder	52	–	36.5	−9.2