Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 5 Feb 2026

Grêmio 5–3 Botafogo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 42%.

Grêmio won and made the better chances: 3.5 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Carlos Vinícius, 83.5 in 68′.

Well above their usual level: Carlos Vinícius +27.3, Francis Amuzu +13.5, Newton +11.3.

Well below it: Neto −29.8, Alex Telles −18.0, Weverton −17.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

28 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	W 4–0	at Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
26 Nov 2025	W 3–2	v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
22 Nov 2025	L 2–3	at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A

30 Jan 2026	W 4–0	v Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	W 4–2	v Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
4 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
30 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
22 Nov 2025	W 3–2	v Grêmio Brasileirão Série A

22 Nov 2025	Botafogo 3–2 Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
24 Sep 2025	Grêmio 1–1 Botafogo Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Edenilson Midfielder	22	1	0	0.24	100.0	–
Carlos Vinícius Forward	68	3	0	1.65	83.5	+27.3
Francis Amuzu Midfielder	45	0	2	–	58.0	+13.5
Tetê Forward	68	1	0	0.27	54.8	+1.4
André Henrique Forward	22	0	0	0.65	51.9	–
Wagner Leonardo Defender	90	0	0	0.34	47.6	+0.7
Erick Noriega Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	47.5	+2.0
Arthur Midfielder	89	0	0	–	47.2	−1.7
Cristian Pavón Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	46.0	−8.1
Willian Midfielder	46	0	0	0.29	44.9	−14.0
João Pedro Defender	90	0	0	–	42.8	–
Miguel Monsalve Midfielder	44	0	0	–	41.8	–
Fabián Balbuena Defender	90	0	0	–	39.8	−11.6
Dodi Midfielder	1	0	0	–	36.1	–
Marlon Defender	90	0	0	–	34.5	−16.2
Weverton Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	32.6	−17.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Marquinhos Defender	8	0	0	–	71.4	–
Danilo Santos Midfielder	90	2	0	0.26	57.9	+7.3
Newton Midfielder	90	0	0	–	56.6	+11.3
Arthur Cabral Forward	90	1	0	0.08	55.2	+9.6
Mateo Ponte Defender	62	0	0	0.05	49.8	−3.2
Nathan Fernandes Forward	8	0	0	0.01	48.7	–
Vitinho Defender	90	0	0	0.11	47.4	+1.3
Álvaro Montoro Midfielder	61	0	1	–	46.9	−5.7
Jordan Barrera Midfielder	29	0	0	0.53	44.5	–
Allan Midfielder	82	0	0	–	42.9	−2.7
Alexander Barboza Defender	90	0	2	–	41.4	−9.0
Matheus Martins Forward	28	0	0	0.07	40.4	–
Artur Midfielder	63	0	0	0.02	35.8	−10.4
Santiago Rodríguez Midfielder	19	0	0	–	33.4	–
Alex Telles Defender	90	0	0	–	31.5	−18.0
Neto Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	23.6	−29.8