Championship 26/27 · 2 Sep 2026

Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Burnley favourites at 51%.

Middlesbrough deserved more from the draw, creating 1.2 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Aidan Morris, 72.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Aidan Morris +27.6, Callum Brittain +12.3, Alfie Jones +10.7.

Well below it: Oliver Sonne −17.7, Hjalmar Ekdal −15.9, Jacob Bruun Larsen −12.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Aug 2026	L 1–4	at Norwich City Championship
26 Aug 2026	D 0–0	at Bradford City EFL Cup
23 Aug 2026	L 1–3	at West Bromwich Albion Championship
16 Aug 2026	D 2–2	v West Ham United Championship
8 Aug 2026	D 1–1	v Notts County EFL Cup

29 Aug 2026	W 3–1	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
25 Aug 2026	W 3–1	at Doncaster Rovers EFL Cup
22 Aug 2026	L 1–2	at Blackburn Rovers Championship
15 Aug 2026	W 2–1	v Lincoln City Championship
7 Aug 2026	W 1–0	v Wrexham EFL Cup

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder	45	0	0	–	50.5	+2.2
Ugo Raghouber Midfielder	90	1	0	0.18	49.5	+1.2
Zeki Amdouni Forward	71	0	1	0.12	46.3	−9.6
Max Alleyne Defender	45	0	0	–	45.2	+0.0
Max Weiss Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.2	−2.4
Dastan Satpaev Forward	81	0	0	0.16	43.9	−8.3
Largie Ramazani Forward	45	0	0	0.08	43.3	−5.0
Anel Ahmedhodžić Defender	90	0	0	0.02	40.0	−12.2
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward	77	0	0	0.04	39.0	−12.4
Armando Broja Forward	13	0	0	–	37.4	–
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender	90	0	0	–	36.7	−15.9
Andreas Hountondji Forward	45	0	0	–	35.5	−4.2
Connor Roberts Defender	90	0	0	–	32.2	−11.4
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder	19	0	0	0.03	28.9	–
Oliver Sonne Defender	90	0	0	–	26.8	−17.7
Mike Trésor Midfielder	9	0	0	–	23.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	1	0	0.05	72.7	+27.6
Alfie Jones Defender	74	0	0	–	59.4	+10.7
Ashley Phillips Defender	16	0	0	–	59.1	–
Tommy Conway Forward	29	0	0	–	56.5	–
Radek Vitek Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.1	+1.9
Adilson Malanda Defender	90	0	0	0.08	51.8	+6.5
Neto Borges Defender	90	0	0	0.03	51.4	+10.4
Sebastian Berhalter Midfielder	90	0	1	0.04	49.2	−1.5
Will Lankshear Forward	87	0	0	0.16	48.6	+4.3
David Strelec Forward	3	0	0	–	45.9	–
Riley McGree Midfielder	61	0	0	0.84	44.7	+9.5
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0	0	0.02	43.9	+12.3
Luke Ayling Defender	90	0	0	–	43.5	+5.8
Kyle Joseph Forward	61	0	0	–	39.1	+1.8
Leo Castledine Midfielder	29	0	0	–	36.8	–