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Burnley
Jacob Bruun Larsen

Jacob Bruun Larsen

Forward · Burnley · 28 · Denmark

347 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
49.1
Championship 26/27, 9 matches
Last 5 weeks
49.7
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€4.0M
−€1.0M (−20%) since 9 Dec 2025
Transfermarkt, 3 Jun 2026

Photo: Agência Brasília, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
19 Sep 1998
Height
183 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2029
Wikipedia views
3,584 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

16 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 51.3 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 2026213256.649.651.9
6–12 Oct 202617454.649.145.6
15–21 Sep 202617338.949.937.7
1–7 Sep 202629738.050.937.2
25–31 Aug 202627358.551.457.5
18–24 Aug 202619051.051.154.1
11–17 Aug 202618254.350.854.7
4–10 Aug 202618959.349.958.1
19–25 May 202611361.149.763.8
12–18 May 20261840.749.839.8
5–11 May 202611081.649.484.6
14–20 Apr 202611444.249.543.6
7–13 Apr 202612342.549.741.8
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202614536.850.335.5
17–23 Feb 202611267.550.176.9
10–16 Feb 202611757.949.962.4
3–9 Feb 202612436.250.334.8
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202611039.250.438.1
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 202627147.650.547.3
23–29 Dec 202517348.050.956.7
16–22 Dec 202516641.351.640.4
9–15 Dec 202517765.050.569.2
2–8 Dec 2025213154.150.355.7
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202511544.550.143.9
18–24 Nov 202511437.050.335.7
4–10 Nov 202512365.050.069.7
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202512843.550.242.8
21–27 Oct 202516946.150.546.6
14–20 Oct 202515840.851.240.3
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202513136.651.835.3
23–29 Sep 202512840.552.239.6
2–8 Sep 2025111100.051.7100.0
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202518257.351.358.3
19–25 Aug 202516942.152.141.7

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (+0.6 a week).

30.040.050.060.070.019 Aug21 Oct9 Dec23 Dec4 Aug18 Aug1 Sep6 OctScore 56.6Expected 49.6
347

On the breakout watchlist

A 17% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 50.7 over 1,453 minutes in the last year, down 2.1 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €4.0M against €8.5M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €4.0M −€1.0M (−20%) since 9 Dec 2025 3 Jun 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €4.4M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €2.4M–€3.6M −33% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −20% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Valentin Rosier at 28 (€4.0M, scoring 51.9) −25%; Oliver McBurnie at 28 (€4.5M, scoring 50.8) −44%; Răzvan Marin at 28 (€3.5M, scoring 51.9) −14%.
0€5.0M€10M€15M€20M201820192020202120222023202420252026€4.0M€4.4M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€4.4M
3 Jun 2026Transfermarkt€4.0M
9 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
5 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
20 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€6.0M
9 Oct 2024Transfermarkt€6.0M
27 May 2024Transfermarkt€8.0M
19 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€3.0M
22 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€3.0M
9 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€4.0M
9 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€6.0M
22 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€6.5M
7 Oct 2021Transfermarkt€6.5M
7 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€5.5M
17 Mar 2021Transfermarkt€6.4M
16 Sep 2020Transfermarkt€8.0M
8 Apr 2020Transfermarkt€11.0M
17 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€12.0M
5 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€15.0M
18 Dec 2018Transfermarkt€20.0M
22 Oct 2018Transfermarkt€15.0M
22 Aug 2018Transfermarkt€1.5M
5 Jun 2018Transfermarkt€500k
28 Dec 2017Transfermarkt€500k
12 Jul 2017Transfermarkt€250k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
11 Jul 2025Stuttgart Burnley€4.0M
8 Jan 2025Hoffenheim Stuttgart€1.7M
30 Jun 2024Burnley HoffenheimFree or loan
27 Jul 2023Hoffenheim BurnleyFree or loan

What the score is made of

Championship 26/27, 611 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 295 top-five-league forward seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting2Creating96Progressing77Keeping the ball7Defending13Aerial11Finishing96
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting2−0.58
Creating96+0.95
Progressing77+0.33
Keeping the ball7−0.82
Defending13−0.23
Aerial11−0.65
Finishing96+0.34

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

01.0K2.0K3.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Anouar Ait El Hadj Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 24––97%Compare
Marcus Edwards Burnley · 2752.8€6.0M96%Compare
Armand Laurienté Sassuolo · 2752.2€19.0M96%Compare
Giovanni Augusto Chapecoense · 37 · cheaper53.7€150k95%Compare
Noa Lang SSC Napoli · 2752.7€20.0M95%Compare
Mamadou Diakhon Club Brugge KV · 21––95%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Jacob Bruun Larsen.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Championship 26/27ChampionshipBurnley961149.147.3
EFL Cup 26/27EFL CupBurnley29966.864.8
World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026World Cup Qualification UEFADenmark111100.0100.0
Premier League 25/26Premier LeagueBurnley271,01148.750.0
Bundesliga 24/25BundesligaVfB Stuttgart2782256.857.3
UEFA Europa League 24/25Europa LeagueTSG Hoffenheim528350.752.0
Premier League 23/24Premier LeagueBurnley321,27958.858.9

Latest matches

39 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
16 Oct 2026ChampionshipWolverhamptonL 1–261010.140.3863.1
13 Oct 2026ChampionshipCharlton AthleticD 2–271100.080.3251.0
10 Oct 2026Championshipat WatfordW 4–074100.240.2154.6
19 Sep 2026ChampionshipDerby CountyD 1–17300–0.3138.9
5 Sep 2026ChampionshipBristol CityL 1–22000–0.0034.3
2 Sep 2026ChampionshipMiddlesbroughD 1–177000.040.1039.0
29 Aug 2026Championshipat Norwich CityL 1–463010.060.0846.5
26 Aug 2026EFL Cupat Bradford CityD 0–01000––100.0
23 Aug 2026Championshipat West Bromwich AlbionL 1–390000.300.1551.0
16 Aug 2026ChampionshipWest Ham UnitedD 2–28200–0.5454.3
All 39 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
16 Oct 2026ChampionshipWolverhamptonL 1–261010.140.3863.1
13 Oct 2026ChampionshipCharlton AthleticD 2–271100.080.3251.0
10 Oct 2026Championshipat WatfordW 4–074100.240.2154.6
19 Sep 2026ChampionshipDerby CountyD 1–17300–0.3138.9
5 Sep 2026ChampionshipBristol CityL 1–22000–0.0034.3
2 Sep 2026ChampionshipMiddlesbroughD 1–177000.040.1039.0
29 Aug 2026Championshipat Norwich CityL 1–463010.060.0846.5
26 Aug 2026EFL Cupat Bradford CityD 0–01000––100.0
23 Aug 2026Championshipat West Bromwich AlbionL 1–390000.300.1551.0
16 Aug 2026ChampionshipWest Ham UnitedD 2–28200–0.5454.3
8 Aug 2026EFL CupNotts CountyD 1–18900––59.3
24 May 2026Premier LeagueWolverhamptonD 1–113000.020.0261.1
18 May 2026Premier Leagueat ArsenalL 0–1800–0.0040.7
10 May 2026Premier LeagueAston VillaD 2–21000–0.0781.6
19 Apr 2026Premier Leagueat Nottingham ForestL 1–41400–0.0144.2
11 Apr 2026Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove AlbionL 0–22300–0.0042.5
28 Feb 2026Premier LeagueBrentfordL 3–44500–0.0036.8
21 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat ChelseaD 1–112000.100.0067.5
11 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat Crystal PalaceW 3–217000.070.0057.9
7 Feb 2026Premier LeagueWest Ham UnitedL 0–22400–0.0136.2
2 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat SunderlandL 0–31000–0.0039.2
3 Jan 2026Premier Leagueat Brighton & Hove AlbionL 0–25500–0.0348.9
30 Dec 2025Premier LeagueNewcastle UnitedL 1–31600–0.0043.2
27 Dec 2025Premier LeagueEvertonD 0–073000.730.0348.0
20 Dec 2025Premier Leagueat BournemouthD 1–16600–0.0041.3
13 Dec 2025Premier LeagueFulhamL 2–377000.250.2865.0
6 Dec 2025Premier Leagueat Newcastle UnitedL 1–286000.050.0251.6
3 Dec 2025Premier LeagueCrystal PalaceL 0–145000.140.0558.9
29 Nov 2025Premier Leagueat BrentfordL 1–31500–0.0444.5
22 Nov 2025Premier LeagueChelseaL 0–21400–0.0137.0
8 Nov 2025Premier Leagueat West Ham UnitedL 2–323000.090.1365.0
1 Nov 2025Premier LeagueArsenalL 0–22800–0.0143.5
26 Oct 2025Premier Leagueat WolverhamptonW 3–269000.070.1146.1
18 Oct 2025Premier LeagueLeeds UnitedW 2–058000.030.0140.8
5 Oct 2025Premier Leagueat Aston VillaL 1–23100–0.0036.6
27 Sep 2025Premier Leagueat Manchester CityL 1–52800–0.0040.5
8 Sep 2025World Cup Qualification UEFAat GreeceW 3–01100––100.0
30 Aug 2025Premier Leagueat Manchester UnitedL 2–382010.030.3257.3
23 Aug 2025Premier LeagueSunderlandW 2–069000.020.0142.1