Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 26 Oct 2025

Wolverhampton 2–3 Burnley

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 0.8
Actual xG
2.3 – 1.4
Goals
2 – 3

Footybot made Wolverhampton favourites at 61%.

Burnley won although Wolverhampton made the better chances (2.3 xG to 1.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Zian Flemming, 77.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jørgen Strand Larsen +8.8.

Well below it: Hugo Bueno −24.2, Rodrigo Gomes −22.1, Ladislav Krejčí −12.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Wolverhampton

18 Oct 2025L 0–2at Sunderland Premier League
5 Oct 2025D 1–1v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
27 Sep 2025D 1–1at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
20 Sep 2025L 1–3v Leeds United Premier League
13 Sep 2025L 0–1at Newcastle United Premier League

Burnley

18 Oct 2025W 2–0v Leeds United Premier League
5 Oct 2025L 1–2at Aston Villa Premier League
27 Sep 2025L 1–5at Manchester City Premier League
20 Sep 2025D 1–1v Nottingham Forest Premier League
14 Sep 2025L 0–1v Liverpool FC Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Wolverhampton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jackson Tchatchoua Midfielder1400–100.0–
David Møller Wolfe Defender1200–77.5–
João Gomes Midfielder22000.0254.9–
Jørgen Strand Larsen Forward90100.8354.2+8.8
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Midfielder90000.0651.5+3.3
Santiago Bueno Defender90000.0549.5−11.1
Hwang Hee-chan Forward2200–48.9–
Hugo Bueno Midfielder84000.0648.6−24.2
Jhon Arias Midfielder68000.3848.3−8.5
Marshall Munetsi Midfielder84100.5847.9−0.7
André Midfielder6800–44.1−4.1
Ladislav Krejčí Defender90010.0742.3−12.7
Sam Johnstone Goalkeeper9000–41.6−12.3
Tolu Arokodare Forward1300–38.9–
Ki-Jana Hoever Defender7600–37.6–
Rodrigo Gomes Midfielder90000.2431.7−22.1

Burnley

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Lyle Foster Forward13100.37100.0–
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder101–100.0–
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender100–100.0–
Zian Flemming Forward90200.7177.3–
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper9000–51.3−7.2
Josh Cullen Midfielder90000.0550.8+1.8
Kyle Walker Defender9000–49.8+3.8
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder89000.1148.5−0.7
Maxime Estève Defender9000–48.3−0.7
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward69000.0746.1−0.2
Quilindschy Hartman Defender90020.0145.4−1.5
Axel Tuanzebe Defender9000–45.2–
Josh Laurent Midfielder2100–44.8–
Florentino Luís Midfielder89000.0344.2−5.1
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder77000.0842.7−9.8