Premier League 25/26 · 18 Oct 2025

Burnley 2–0 Leeds United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Burnley 35%, the draw 28%, Leeds United 37%.

Burnley won although Leeds United made the better chances (2.6 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Gudmundsson, 87.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gabriel Gudmundsson +38.9, Brenden Aaronson +12.9, Kyle Walker +10.7.

Well below it: Jaidon Anthony −17.6, Karl Darlow −12.8, Anton Stach −12.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

5 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Aston Villa Premier League
27 Sep 2025	L 1–5	at Manchester City Premier League
20 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
14 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Liverpool FC Premier League
30 Aug 2025	L 2–3	at Manchester United Premier League

4 Oct 2025	L 1–2	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
27 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v Bournemouth Premier League
20 Sep 2025	W 3–1	at Wolverhampton Premier League
13 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Fulham Premier League
30 Aug 2025	D 0–0	v Newcastle United Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ashley Barnes Midfielder	15	0	0	–	71.7	–
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	65.7	+8.4
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder	32	1	0	0.03	60.2	–
Kyle Walker Defender	90	0	1	–	55.4	+10.7
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder	83	1	0	0.38	51.6	+3.3
Josh Laurent Midfielder	13	0	0	–	51.4	–
Florentino Luís Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	49.3	−0.0
Josh Cullen Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.2	−4.9
Maxime Estève Defender	90	0	0	–	45.6	−3.9
Axel Tuanzebe Defender	90	0	0	–	45.4	–
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder	15	0	0	–	43.1	–
Zian Flemming Forward	77	0	0	–	41.4	–
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward	58	0	0	0.03	40.8	−7.3
Quilindschy Hartman Defender	90	0	0	–	37.5	−10.7
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder	83	0	0	–	37.0	−17.6

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Ao Tanaka Midfielder	9	–	99.1	–
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	–	87.4	+38.9
Daniel James Midfielder	24	–	77.3	–
Sean Longstaff Midfielder	90	–	68.0	+9.0
Lukas Nmecha Forward	24	0.75	66.5	–
Brenden Aaronson Forward	66	0.31	62.0	+12.9
Joe Rodon Defender	90	0.01	61.0	+4.4
Pascal Struijk Defender	90	0.17	57.9	+7.2
Joël Piroe Forward	17	0.18	52.8	–
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	81	0.12	52.5	+2.1
Jayden Bogle Midfielder	90	0.47	48.1	−0.4
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	90	0.33	47.5	−3.5
Jack Harrison Forward	66	0.13	45.7	–
Anton Stach Midfielder	73	0.15	43.7	−12.0
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper	90	–	36.7	−12.8