Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 20 Sep 2025

Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.2
Actual xG
0.9 – 1.1
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Burnley favourites at 48%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.9 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Elliot Anderson, 68.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Neco Williams +14.2, Matz Sels +10.8, Maxime Estève +9.8.

Well below it: Dilane Bakwa −19.6, Hjalmar Ekdal −9.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Burnley

14 Sep 2025L 0–1v Liverpool FC Premier League
30 Aug 2025L 2–3at Manchester United Premier League
23 Aug 2025W 2–0v Sunderland Premier League
16 Aug 2025L 0–3at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Nottingham Forest

13 Sep 2025L 0–3at Arsenal Premier League
31 Aug 2025L 0–3v West Ham United Premier League
24 Aug 2025D 1–1at Crystal Palace Premier League
17 Aug 2025W 3–1v Brentford Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Burnley

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder900–100.0–
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper9000–63.8+5.6
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder90100.3658.7+5.6
Maxime Estève Defender90000.1257.7+9.8
Florentino Luís Midfielder9000–52.5–
Zian Flemming Forward10000.1150.1–
Lyle Foster Forward86010.0249.3+1.4
Quilindschy Hartman Defender90000.0248.9+1.2
Kyle Walker Defender9000–48.2+5.9
Josh Cullen Midfielder9000–45.2−7.7
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder81000.0844.0–
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender90000.1443.8−9.8
Josh Laurent Midfielder9000–43.2–

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Elliot Anderson Midfielder90000.0468.9+8.0
Neco Williams Defender90100.1565.4+14.2
Arnaud Kalimuendo Forward14000.2460.1–
Oleksandr Zinchenko Defender90000.0458.9–
Igor Jesus Forward15000.0458.7–
Matz Sels Goalkeeper9000–54.6+10.8
Nikola Milenković Defender9000–53.1+6.1
Dan Ndoye Midfielder7600–50.1−2.1
Morato Defender9000–50.0–
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder1400–49.5–
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder90000.0848.2−1.9
Chris Wood Forward75000.4146.7−6.2
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder31000.0146.6–
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder59000.0645.6−19.6
Douglas Luiz Midfielder76000.0242.7–