
Lukas Nmecha
Forward · Leeds United · 27 · Germany
201 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others
- Season score
- 51.1
- Last 5 weeks
- 48.1
- Market value
- €10.0M
- +€2.0M (+25%)
Photo: Werner100359, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
- Born
- 14 Dec 1998
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- R
- Contract until
- 30 Jun 2027
- Wikipedia views
- 8,816
Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt
Every week
14 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 50.4 (minutes-weighted); 1 of them 70 or better.
Form bars show the weekly score: no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+
Every week as a table
| Week | Matches | Minutes | Score | Expected | Underlying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–26 Oct 2026 | 1 | 11 | 49.2 | 49.9 | 49.0 |
| 13–19 Oct 2026 | 1 | 16 | 53.9 | 49.8 | 66.2 |
| 6–12 Oct 2026 | 1 | 17 | 37.8 | 50.0 | 36.6 |
| 15–21 Sep 2026 | 1 | 14 | 35.0 | 50.3 | 33.5 |
| 8–14 Sep 2026 | 2 | 78 | 44.7 | 50.7 | 44.7 |
| 1–7 Sep 2026 | 1 | 17 | 59.1 | 50.7 | 65.6 |
| 25–31 Aug 2026 | 2 | 104 | 54.1 | 50.4 | 54.4 |
| 19–25 May 2026 | 1 | 90 | 55.0 | 49.9 | 59.4 |
| 12–18 May 2026 | 1 | 30 | 56.2 | 49.7 | 56.7 |
| 5–11 May 2026 | 1 | 27 | 56.7 | 49.5 | 59.3 |
| 28 Apr – 4 May 2026 | 1 | 25 | 35.9 | 49.8 | 39.6 |
| 21–27 Apr 2026 | 2 | 42 | 66.3 | 49.3 | 75.8 |
| 14–20 Apr 2026 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | 49.0 | 100.0 |
| 31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026 | 1 | 69 | 40.2 | 49.5 | 40.4 |
| 17–23 Mar 2026 | 1 | 69 | 41.6 | 50.1 | 41.0 |
| 10–16 Mar 2026 | 1 | 45 | 40.7 | 50.5 | 39.7 |
| 3–9 Mar 2026 | 2 | 118 | 40.6 | 51.8 | 45.3 |
| 24 Feb – 2 Mar 2026 | 1 | 25 | 39.2 | 52.4 | 38.1 |
| 17–23 Feb 2026 | 1 | 17 | 70.0 | 52.2 | 99.2 |
| 10–16 Feb 2026 | 2 | 150 | 64.2 | 51.1 | 58.5 |
| 13–19 Jan 2026 | 1 | 9 | 100.0 | 49.9 | 100.0 |
| 6–12 Jan 2026 | 2 | 107 | 43.6 | 50.8 | 46.3 |
| 30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026 | 2 | 85 | 41.7 | 51.5 | 40.9 |
| 23–29 Dec 2025 | 1 | 17 | 36.2 | 52.0 | 34.8 |
| 2–8 Dec 2025 | 1 | 67 | 46.0 | 52.6 | 52.3 |
| 25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025 | 1 | 82 | 72.9 | 50.8 | 75.2 |
| 18–24 Nov 2025 | 1 | 71 | 62.0 | 49.8 | 60.4 |
| 4–10 Nov 2025 | 1 | 74 | 56.5 | 49.2 | 48.8 |
| 28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025 | 1 | 25 | 46.8 | 49.2 | 51.2 |
| 21–27 Oct 2025 | 1 | 8 | 38.6 | 49.3 | 37.4 |
| 14–20 Oct 2025 | 1 | 24 | 62.4 | 48.8 | 91.8 |
| 30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025 | 1 | 11 | 32.6 | 49.0 | 30.9 |
| 23–29 Sep 2025 | 1 | 1 | 27.7 | 49.0 | 25.5 |
| 16–22 Sep 2025 | 1 | 1 | 68.6 | 48.9 | 70.3 |
| 9–15 Sep 2025 | 1 | 21 | 42.1 | 49.0 | 41.2 |
| 26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 2 | 128 | 40.4 | 49.8 | 42.8 |
| 19–25 Aug 2025 | 1 | 32 | 41.7 | 50.7 | 40.8 |
| 12–18 Aug 2025 | 1 | 12 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 |
Against expectation
How it's expectedEach week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: −2.4 a week below expectation.
On the breakout watchlist
A 28% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 52.6 over 1,502 minutes in the last year, down 1.2 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €10.0M against €9.7M expected. See the list
Market value
Where these come fromEvery value as a table
| Date | Source | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Current estimate (BSD) | €9.1M |
| 3 Jun 2026 | Transfermarkt | €10.0M |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Transfermarkt | €10.0M |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Transfermarkt | €8.0M |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Transfermarkt | €5.0M |
| 5 Jun 2025 | Transfermarkt | €3.0M |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Transfermarkt | €3.0M |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Transfermarkt | €4.0M |
| 29 May 2024 | Transfermarkt | €5.0M |
| 27 Mar 2024 | Transfermarkt | €7.0M |
| 14 Dec 2023 | Transfermarkt | €9.0M |
| 22 Jun 2023 | Transfermarkt | €12.0M |
| 29 Mar 2023 | Transfermarkt | €14.0M |
| 9 Nov 2022 | Transfermarkt | €18.0M |
| 9 Jun 2022 | Transfermarkt | €18.0M |
| 22 Dec 2021 | Transfermarkt | €18.0M |
| 7 Jun 2021 | Transfermarkt | €12.0M |
| 4 Jan 2021 | Transfermarkt | €8.0M |
| 16 Oct 2020 | Transfermarkt | €4.5M |
| 8 Apr 2020 | Transfermarkt | €3.6M |
| 27 Feb 2020 | Transfermarkt | €4.0M |
| 17 Dec 2019 | Transfermarkt | €4.0M |
| 27 Feb 2019 | Transfermarkt | €1.0M |
| 24 Sep 2018 | Transfermarkt | €500k |
Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.
Moves
All transfers| Date | Move | Fee |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Wolfsburg Leeds | Free or loan |
| 16 Jul 2021 | Man City Wolfsburg | €8.0M |
What the score is made of
EFL Cup 26/27, 149 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 295 top-five-league forward seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).
As a table
| Part | Percentile | Per 90 vs average |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 100 | −NaN |
| Creating | 77 | +0.28 |
| Progressing | 45 | −0.14 |
| Keeping the ball | 49 | −0.07 |
| Defending | 58 | +0.04 |
| Aerial | 66 | +0.16 |
| Finishing | 100 | −NaN |
Attention
English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.
Plays most like
| Player | Recent score | Likeness |
|---|---|---|
| Serhou Guirassy | 56.5 | 94%Compare |
| Nikola Krstović | 50.6 | 93%Compare |
| Marko Arnautović | – | 90%Compare |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 57.3 | 90%Compare |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 57.0 | 89%Compare |
| Victor Osimhen | 53.9 | 89%Compare |
Seasons
| Season | Competition | Team | Matches | Minutes | Score | Underlying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFL Cup 26/27 | EFL Cup | Leeds United | 2 | 149 | 51.1 | 51.0 |
| Premier League 26/27 | Premier League | Leeds United | 7 | 108 | 46.7 | 49.6 |
| Premier League 25/26 | Premier League | Leeds United | 31 | 1,092 | 55.1 | 56.7 |
| FA Cup 25/26 | FA Cup | Leeds United | 5 | 333 | 44.0 | 43.7 |
| EFL Cup 25/26 | EFL Cup | Leeds United | 1 | 58 | 36.0 | 40.5 |
| Bundesliga 24/25 | Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg | 19 | 474 | 53.2 | 56.4 |
| DFB Pokal 24/25 | DFB-Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 16 | 29.7 | 32.2 |
| Bundesliga 23/24 | Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 39 | 66.3 | 47.9 |
| Bundesliga 22/23 | Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg | 16 | 905 | 50.8 | 49.8 |
Latest matches
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Min | Goals | Assists | xG | xA | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Premier League | at Sunderland | D 0–0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.03 | 49.2 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Premier League | Manchester United | D 1–1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 53.9 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Premier League | at Arsenal | L 1–2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 37.8 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Premier League | Crystal Palace | D 0–0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 35.0 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Premier League | Newcastle United | W 4–1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.01 | 31.8 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | EFL Cup | at Chelsea | L 3–6 | 66 | 0 | 1 | – | – | 47.0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Premier League | at Brighton & Hove Albion | D 1–1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 59.1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Premier League | Brentford | D 1–1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 53.1 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | EFL Cup | at Nottingham Forest | W 2–0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 54.4 |
| 24 May 2026 | Premier League | at West Ham United | L 0–3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 55.0 |
All 46 matches
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Result | Min | Goals | Assists | xG | xA | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Premier League | at Sunderland | D 0–0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.03 | 49.2 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Premier League | Manchester United | D 1–1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 53.9 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Premier League | at Arsenal | L 1–2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 37.8 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Premier League | Crystal Palace | D 0–0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 35.0 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Premier League | Newcastle United | W 4–1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.01 | 31.8 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | EFL Cup | at Chelsea | L 3–6 | 66 | 0 | 1 | – | – | 47.0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Premier League | at Brighton & Hove Albion | D 1–1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 59.1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Premier League | Brentford | D 1–1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 53.1 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | EFL Cup | at Nottingham Forest | W 2–0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 54.4 |
| 24 May 2026 | Premier League | at West Ham United | L 0–3 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 55.0 |
| 17 May 2026 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion | W 1–0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.03 | 56.2 |
| 11 May 2026 | Premier League | at Tottenham Hotspur | D 1–1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 56.7 |
| 1 May 2026 | Premier League | Burnley | W 3–1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | – | 35.9 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | FA Cup | at Chelsea | L 0–1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 63.1 |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Premier League | at Bournemouth | D 2–2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 68.2 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Premier League | Wolverhampton | W 3–0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 100.0 |
| 5 Apr 2026 | FA Cup | at West Ham United | D 2–2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | – | 40.2 |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Premier League | Brentford | D 0–0 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 41.6 |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Premier League | at Crystal Palace | D 0–0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 40.7 |
| 8 Mar 2026 | FA Cup | Norwich City | W 3–0 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0.74 | – | 37.8 |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Premier League | Sunderland | L 0–1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.09 | 49.5 |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Premier League | Manchester City | L 0–1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.01 | 39.2 |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Premier League | at Aston Villa | D 1–1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 70.0 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | FA Cup | at Birmingham City | D 1–1 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | – | 55.3 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Premier League | at Chelsea | D 2–2 | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.47 | 71.6 |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Premier League | Fulham | W 1–0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 100.0 |
| 11 Jan 2026 | FA Cup | at Derby County | W 3–1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | – | 41.2 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Premier League | at Newcastle United | L 3–4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 56.4 |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Premier League | Manchester United | D 1–1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.05 | 50.9 |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Premier League | at Liverpool FC | D 0–0 | 70 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 39.8 |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Premier League | at Sunderland | D 1–1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 36.2 |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Chelsea | W 3–1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 46.0 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Premier League | at Manchester City | L 2–3 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 72.9 |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa | L 1–2 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0.79 | 0.24 | 62.0 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Premier League | at Nottingham Forest | L 1–3 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 56.5 |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Premier League | at Brighton & Hove Albion | L 0–3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 46.8 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Premier League | West Ham United | W 2–1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 38.6 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Premier League | at Burnley | L 0–2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 62.4 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Premier League | Tottenham Hotspur | L 1–2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 32.6 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Premier League | Bournemouth | D 2–2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 27.7 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Premier League | at Wolverhampton | W 3–1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 68.6 |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Premier League | at Fulham | L 0–1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 42.1 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Newcastle United | D 0–0 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 44.1 |
| 26 Aug 2025 | EFL Cup | at Sheffield Wednesday | D 1–1 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | – | 36.0 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Premier League | at Arsenal | L 0–5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 41.7 |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Everton | W 1–0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.87 | 0.01 | 100.0 |