Premier League 25/26 · 23 Nov 2025

Leeds United 1–2 Aston Villa

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Leeds United favourites at 57%.

Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 1.6 xG to 2.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Donyell Malen, 75.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Morgan Rogers +26.3, Donyell Malen +22.5, Ao Tanaka +17.4.

Well below it: Emiliano Buendía −19.9, Noah Okafor −8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

9 Nov 2025	L 1–3	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
1 Nov 2025	L 0–3	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
24 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v West Ham United Premier League
18 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Burnley Premier League
4 Oct 2025	L 1–2	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

9 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Bournemouth Premier League
6 Nov 2025	W 2–0	v Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League
1 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Liverpool FC Premier League
26 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Manchester City Premier League
23 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Go Ahead Eagles Europa League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Lukas Nmecha Forward	71	1	0.79	65.1	+15.7
Daniel James Midfielder	19	0	0.22	64.6	–
Ao Tanaka Midfielder	48	0	–	61.8	+17.4
Joe Rodon Defender	90	0	–	57.9	−1.6
Sean Longstaff Midfielder	90	0	0.06	57.1	−1.2
Wilfried Gnonto Forward	10	0	–	56.1	–
Pascal Struijk Defender	90	0	0.09	54.4	+2.8
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	19	0	0.07	54.2	–
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	–	51.9	+1.5
Anton Stach Midfielder	23	0	0.21	48.5	–
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	0	0.19	48.2	−5.4
Brenden Aaronson Forward	80	0	0.31	45.6	−6.8
Noah Okafor Forward	80	0	–	45.4	−8.1
Jayden Bogle Midfielder	90	0	–	44.4	−3.2
Joël Piroe Forward	10	0	0.02	43.5	–
Lucas Perri Goalkeeper	90	0	–	38.8	−3.6

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Donyell Malen Forward	45	0	1	0.61	75.0	+22.5
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	2	0	0.25	73.3	+26.3
Matty Cash Defender	90	0	0	0.09	64.4	+16.9
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	90	0	0	–	60.8	+5.4
Lucas Digne Defender	45	0	0	–	60.7	+6.8
Ian Maatsen Defender	45	0	0	0.10	56.9	+0.8
Pau Torres Defender	90	0	0	–	55.7	+7.6
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	84	0	0	0.08	53.5	−2.7
John McGinn Midfielder	68	0	0	0.03	51.2	+1.6
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.0	−1.0
Ollie Watkins Forward	68	0	0	0.33	50.0	+3.8
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	22	0	0	–	45.8	–
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	13	0	0	–	45.5	–
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	44.2	−8.0
Ross Barkley Midfielder	22	0	0	–	42.8	–
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	45	0	0	0.08	40.6	−19.9