Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 9 Nov 2025

Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 1.1
Actual xG
2.6 – 0.7
Goals
3 – 1

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 43%.

Nottingham Forest won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Anton Stach, 62.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ibrahim Sangaré +12.4.

Well below it: Sean Longstaff −14.9, Igor Jesus −12.0, Elliot Anderson −11.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Nottingham Forest

6 Nov 2025D 0–0at SK Sturm Graz Europa League
1 Nov 2025D 2–2v Manchester United Premier League
26 Oct 2025L 0–2at Bournemouth Premier League
23 Oct 2025W 2–0v FC Porto Europa League
18 Oct 2025L 0–3v Chelsea Premier League

Leeds United

1 Nov 2025L 0–3at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
24 Oct 2025W 2–1v West Ham United Premier League
18 Oct 2025L 0–2at Burnley Premier League
4 Oct 2025L 1–2v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
27 Sep 2025D 2–2v Bournemouth Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder31010.0576.2–
Morato Defender900–74.9–
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder59100.3562.0+12.4
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder5900–55.5–
Elliot Anderson Midfielder90100.7953.4−11.7
Neco Williams Defender9000–53.1−3.1
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder88100.6350.1−2.4
Nikola Milenković Defender9000–49.4−1.0
Dan Ndoye Midfielder90000.1248.4−3.1
Matz Sels Goalkeeper9000–47.1+1.9
Ryan Yates Midfielder3100–47.0–
Murillo Defender9000–46.8−4.9
Igor Jesus Forward59000.6145.8−12.0
Nicolò Savona Defender9000–39.7−5.6
Taiwo Awoniyi Forward3100–39.3–

Leeds United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward16000.2265.7–
Anton Stach Midfielder9000–62.3+6.6
Pascal Struijk Defender800–61.0–
Jaka Bijol Defender8200–59.8+8.0
Joe Rodon Defender9000–59.4+1.7
Lukas Nmecha Forward74100.3257.5–
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder82000.0152.6−1.2
Brenden Aaronson Forward74010.0448.5−4.3
Jack Harrison Forward800–47.8–
Joël Piroe Forward1600–46.4–
Noah Okafor Forward9000–45.2−10.2
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder90000.0345.0−4.9
Jayden Bogle Midfielder9000–44.9−2.6
Sean Longstaff Midfielder7400–44.8−14.9
Daniel James Midfielder16000.0643.1–
Lucas Perri Goalkeeper9000–37.6−5.8