Premier League 25/26 · 1 Nov 2025

Nottingham Forest 2–2 Manchester United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 46%.

Nottingham Forest deserved more from the draw, creating 1.9 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Casemiro, 79.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Casemiro +26.0, Matthijs de Ligt +19.1, Amad Diallo +14.9.

Well below it: Igor Jesus −21.0, Dan Ndoye −18.9, Neco Williams −17.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

26 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Bournemouth Premier League
23 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v FC Porto Europa League
18 Oct 2025	L 0–3	v Chelsea Premier League
5 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
2 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v FC Midtjylland Europa League

25 Oct 2025	W 4–2	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
19 Oct 2025	W 2–1	at Liverpool FC Premier League
4 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v Sunderland Premier League
27 Sep 2025	L 1–3	at Brentford Premier League
20 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v Chelsea Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	14	0	0	–	83.6	–
Murillo Defender	90	0	0	0.06	60.1	+11.4
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.16	51.5	−13.6
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	1	0	0.27	51.2	+2.0
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	89	0	0	0.15	49.4	−2.7
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.7	+4.0
Ryan Yates Midfielder	76	0	1	–	48.2	+3.3
Nicolò Savona Defender	90	1	0	0.78	48.0	+5.8
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	0	0.18	47.5	−1.8
Taiwo Awoniyi Forward	12	0	0	–	45.2	–
Igor Jesus Forward	78	0	0	0.26	42.3	−21.0
Neco Williams Defender	90	0	0	0.04	41.5	−17.6
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	1	0	0	–	35.9	–
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	33.5	−18.9

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Noussair Mazraoui Defender	13	0	0	–	93.1	–
Casemiro Midfielder	90	1	0	0.22	79.2	+26.0
Matthijs de Ligt Defender	90	0	0	–	74.0	+19.1
Amad Diallo Midfielder	90	1	0	0.18	65.8	+14.9
Bryan Mbeumo Forward	90	0	0	0.08	64.3	+4.8
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder	90	0	1	0.09	64.2	+4.4
Matheus Cunha Forward	90	0	0	0.06	60.7	+6.9
Luke Shaw Defender	90	0	0	–	55.3	+11.7
Diogo Dalot Defender	68	0	0	–	50.5	+1.6
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder	22	0	0	0.33	49.6	–
Leny Yoro Defender	77	0	0	–	48.0	−1.5
Benjamin Šeško Forward	90	0	0	0.16	40.7	−8.7
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	40.5	−13.0