Premier League 25/26 · 5 Oct 2025

Newcastle United 2–0 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 66%.

Newcastle United won and made the better chances: 3.5 xG to 0.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dan Ndoye, 78.2 in 65′.

Well above their usual level: Dan Ndoye +27.3, Morgan Gibbs-White +15.9, Neco Williams +13.2.

Well below it: Anthony Gordon −20.0, Dan Burn −19.9, Sven Botman −14.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2025	W 4–0	at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Champions League
28 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v Arsenal Premier League
24 Sep 2025	W 4–1	v Bradford City EFL Cup
21 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Bournemouth Premier League
18 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v FC Barcelona Champions League

2 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v FC Midtjylland Europa League
27 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Sunderland Premier League
24 Sep 2025	D 2–2	at Real Betis Europa League
20 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Burnley Premier League
17 Sep 2025	L 2–3	at Swansea City EFL Cup

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lewis Miley Midfielder	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Jacob Murphy Midfielder	20	0	0	0.24	99.4	–
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	0	0.49	61.6	+4.9
Nick Woltemade Forward	89	1	0	1.37	61.6	+10.7
Nick Pope Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.0	+9.1
Harvey Barnes Forward	20	0	0	0.52	56.4	–
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder	90	1	0	0.07	54.5	+2.7
William Osula Forward	1	0	0	–	52.9	–
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	51.3	−7.7
Kieran Trippier Defender	90	0	0	–	49.7	−5.9
Joelinton Midfielder	89	0	0	0.49	48.2	−2.3
Sven Botman Defender	90	0	0	0.08	45.5	−14.2
Anthony Elanga Forward	70	0	0	–	41.2	−12.3
Anthony Gordon Forward	70	0	0	0.13	40.4	−20.0
Dan Burn Defender	90	0	1	–	37.2	−19.9

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	26	0.07	99.2	–
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	65	–	78.2	+27.3
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder	13	–	71.0	–
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	–	68.0	+6.0
Neco Williams Defender	90	0.03	64.3	+13.2
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	0.13	64.3	+15.9
Morato Defender	77	–	61.0	+12.0
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	–	59.5	+12.2
Jair Defender	90	–	58.8	–
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	–	56.6	+12.6
Ryan Yates Midfielder	64	0.07	50.5	–
Igor Jesus Forward	26	–	46.5	–
Nicolò Savona Defender	90	–	46.4	+8.2
Chris Wood Forward	64	–	40.5	−6.9
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	25	–	39.2	–