Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 25 Oct 2025

Manchester United 4–2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.3 – 1.5
Actual xG
1.3 – 1.1
Goals
4 – 2

Footybot made Manchester United favourites at 55%.

Manchester United won a close one on the chances: 1.3 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bryan Mbeumo, 79.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bryan Mbeumo +22.3, Mats Wieffer +18.9, Lewis Dunk +17.2.

Well below it: Yankuba Minteh −19.2, Bart Verbruggen −10.0, Amad Diallo −9.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Manchester United

19 Oct 2025W 2–1at Liverpool FC Premier League
4 Oct 2025W 2–0v Sunderland Premier League
27 Sep 2025L 1–3at Brentford Premier League
20 Sep 2025W 2–1v Chelsea Premier League
14 Sep 2025L 0–3at Manchester City Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

18 Oct 2025W 2–1v Newcastle United Premier League
5 Oct 2025D 1–1at Wolverhampton Premier League
27 Sep 2025W 3–1at Chelsea Premier League
23 Sep 2025W 6–0at Barnsley EFL Cup
20 Sep 2025D 2–2v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Bryan Mbeumo Forward90200.5679.3+22.3
Manuel Ugarte Midfielder900–71.2–
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder2000–70.1–
Matheus Cunha Forward81100.0962.6+10.1
Joshua Zirkzee Forward800–62.6–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder90000.3861.0+0.4
Casemiro Midfielder70110.0255.1+2.3
Ayden Heaven Defender2501–52.1–
Leny Yoro Defender9000–47.9−1.9
Matthijs de Ligt Defender9000–47.4−8.4
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper9000–46.6−8.2
Diogo Dalot Defender90000.0345.9−3.2
Benjamin Šeško Forward82010.2144.4−4.7
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder2000–42.2–
Amad Diallo Midfielder7000–42.1−9.8
Luke Shaw Defender6501–41.6−2.2

Brighton & Hove Albion

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Charalampos Kostoulas Forward11100.27100.0–
James Milner Midfielder3101–97.6–
Mats Wieffer Defender8700–76.4+18.9
Lewis Dunk Defender90000.2169.7+17.2
Stefanos Tzimas Forward11000.0269.1–
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender9000–63.3+8.1
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender90000.1360.8+12.9
Maxim De Cuyper Defender59000.0458.4+0.9
Danny Welbeck Forward90100.2157.5+4.8
Yasin Ayari Midfielder60000.0856.5−1.3
Diego Gómez Midfielder30000.0449.7–
Carlos Baleba Midfielder59000.0545.8−3.0
Georginio Rutter Midfielder7900–45.6−0.7
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder90000.0342.5−19.2
Tom Watson Forward31000.0442.5–
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper9000–39.4−10.0