Premier League 25/26 · 18 Oct 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Newcastle United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Brighton & Hove Albion favourites at 44%.

Brighton & Hove Albion won although Newcastle United made the better chances (1.4 xG to 0.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jacob Murphy, 84.5 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Jacob Murphy +34.9, Lewis Miley +29.0, Danny Welbeck +28.0.

Well below it: Anthony Elanga −12.2, Mats Wieffer −9.8, Sven Botman −8.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

5 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Wolverhampton Premier League
27 Sep 2025	W 3–1	at Chelsea Premier League
20 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
13 Sep 2025	L 1–2	at Bournemouth Premier League
31 Aug 2025	W 2–1	v Manchester City Premier League

5 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
1 Oct 2025	W 4–0	at Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Champions League
28 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v Arsenal Premier League
21 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Bournemouth Premier League
18 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v FC Barcelona Champions League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Danny Welbeck Forward	89	2	0	0.58	77.9	+28.0
Diego Coppola Defender	8	0	0	–	71.1	–
Charalampos Kostoulas Forward	8	0	0	–	67.1	–
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	90	0	0	–	62.9	+7.5
Yasin Ayari Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	61.4	+6.6
Georginio Rutter Midfielder	71	0	1	0.05	60.7	+15.5
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	90	0	0	–	58.7	+6.2
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder	89	0	0	0.11	57.1	−7.9
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	54	0	0	0.02	56.8	−5.8
Carlos Baleba Midfielder	71	0	0	0.03	55.4	+7.2
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	0	0	0.02	53.4	−0.1
Diego Gómez Midfielder	36	0	0	–	52.3	–
Mats Wieffer Defender	90	0	0	0.03	52.2	−9.8
Stefanos Tzimas Forward	19	0	0	–	50.9	–
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.1	−1.4
James Milner Midfielder	19	0	0	–	41.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jacob Murphy Midfielder	45	0	0	0.15	84.5	+34.9
Lewis Miley Midfielder	45	0	1	–	79.3	+29.0
Harvey Barnes Forward	20	0	0	0.03	66.6	–
Nick Woltemade Forward	90	1	0	0.71	64.8	+12.7
Anthony Gordon Forward	70	0	0	0.07	64.4	+6.3
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	70	0	0	0.03	64.4	−2.4
Kieran Trippier Defender	90	0	0	–	63.6	+7.1
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	20	0	0	–	62.2	–
Joelinton Midfielder	45	0	0	–	58.4	+10.7
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	0	0.05	58.0	−2.2
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder	86	0	0	0.36	53.3	+1.2
Dan Burn Defender	90	0	0	–	52.9	−3.4
Sven Botman Defender	90	0	0	0.05	50.6	−8.4
Nick Pope Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.7	−7.2
Anthony Elanga Forward	45	0	0	–	43.1	−12.2
William Osula Forward	12	0	0	–	37.7	–