Premier League 25/26 · 27 Sep 2025

Chelsea 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 17% · Chances everywhere: 4.1 xG · Standout: Danny Welbeck scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Lewis Dunk

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 2.3 – 1.1
Actual xG: 1.8 – 2.3
Goals: 1 – 3

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 64%.

Brighton & Hove Albion won a close one on the chances: 2.3 xG to 1.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Danny Welbeck, 100.0 in 23′.

Chelsea

Player	Min	G	xG	Score
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	11	0	–	70.1
Josh Acheampong Defender	36	0	–	66.3
Benoît Badiashile Defender	11	0	–	62.4
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	1	1.48	56.5
Reece James Defender	90	0	0.05	54.5
Malo Gusto Defender	27	0	–	54.3
Estêvão Midfielder	63	0	0.19	53.7
Marc Cucurella Defender	90	0	0.02	52.4
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0.03	50.5
Pedro Neto Midfielder	79	0	0.05	47.1
João Pedro Forward	90	0	–	44.6
Andrey Santos Midfielder	54	0	–	42.1
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	53	0	–	41.4
Jorrel Hato Defender	79	0	–	41.0
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	90	0	–	30.1

Brighton & Hove Albion

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Danny Welbeck Forward	23	2	0	0.75	100.0
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	19	1	0	0.64	100.0
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	23	0	1	–	81.3
Mats Wieffer Defender	35	0	1	–	74.7
Stefanos Tzimas Forward	19	0	0	0.28	73.2
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	90	0	0	0.03	66.4
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder	90	0	1	0.36	65.0
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	90	0	0	–	64.0
Yasin Ayari Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	63.5
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	0	0	0.06	56.5
Joël Veltman Defender	55	0	0	–	55.1
Carlos Baleba Midfielder	67	0	0	0.01	53.5
Georginio Rutter Midfielder	85	0	0	–	49.7
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.6
Kaoru Mitoma Midfielder	67	0	0	–	45.7
Diego Gómez Midfielder	85	0	0	0.10	45.0