FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 19 Oct 2025

Liverpool FC 1–2 Manchester United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 15% · Chances everywhere: 4.1 xG · Standout: Jeremie Frimpong scored 91.6

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.5 – 1.1
Actual xG
2.8 – 1.3
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Liverpool FC favourites at 68%.

Manchester United won although Liverpool FC made the better chances (2.8 xG to 1.3): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Virgil van Dijk, 76.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Amad Diallo +15.0, Diogo Dalot +14.7, Virgil van Dijk +14.7.

Well below it: Ryan Gravenberch −16.1, Matthijs de Ligt −15.1, Mason Mount −15.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Liverpool FC

4 Oct 2025L 1–2at Chelsea Premier League
30 Sep 2025L 0–1at Galatasaray Champions League
27 Sep 2025L 1–2at Crystal Palace Premier League
20 Sep 2025W 2–1v Everton Premier League
17 Sep 2025W 3–2v Atlético Madrid Champions League

Manchester United

4 Oct 2025W 2–0v Sunderland Premier League
27 Sep 2025L 1–3at Brentford Premier League
20 Sep 2025W 2–1v Chelsea Premier League
14 Sep 2025L 0–3at Manchester City Premier League
30 Aug 2025W 3–2v Burnley Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Liverpool FC

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jeremie Frimpong Defender1400–91.6–
Curtis Jones Midfielder28000.0777.3–
Virgil van Dijk Defender90000.2376.4+14.7
Florian Wirtz Midfielder2800–68.4–
Cody Gakpo Midfielder90101.4763.1−7.4
Ibrahima Konaté Defender90000.0161.9−3.8
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder9000–61.8−4.3
Mohamed Salah Midfielder85000.4151.7−4.4
Hugo Ekitiké Forward28000.0748.3–
Federico Chiesa Forward18010.0747.8–
Conor Bradley Defender6200–45.9−14.1
Miloš Kerkez Defender9000–45.3−5.2
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder6200–42.6−16.1
Giorgi Mamardashvili Goalkeeper9000–42.2+0.5
Alexander Isak Forward72000.3341.8−9.6
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder62000.0936.5−12.6

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Amad Diallo Midfielder5901–72.0+15.0
Harry Maguire Defender90100.0969.7–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder85010.2067.3−0.4
Bryan Mbeumo Forward90100.3867.1+9.8
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder3100–66.2–
Benjamin Šeško Forward29000.0165.4–
Diogo Dalot Defender9000–63.9+14.7
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper9000–59.0+5.1
Leny Yoro Defender1400–56.1–
Manuel Ugarte Midfielder3200–54.1–
Matheus Cunha Forward90000.0851.3−3.6
Casemiro Midfielder5800–48.1−2.3
Luke Shaw Defender8500–48.0+1.7
Matthijs de Ligt Defender90000.4346.9−15.1
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder1400–43.0–
Mason Mount Midfielder61000.1640.4−15.1