UEFA Europa League 25/26 · 23 Oct 2025

Nottingham Forest 2–0 FC Porto

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 47%.

Nottingham Forest won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alberto Costa, 65.3 in 76′.

Well above their usual level: Alberto Costa +19.6, Douglas Luiz +14.7, Francisco Moura +10.3.

Well below it: Elliot Anderson −13.0, Diogo Costa −12.3, Murillo −11.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

18 Oct 2025	L 0–3	v Chelsea Premier League
5 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
2 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v FC Midtjylland Europa League
27 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Sunderland Premier League
24 Sep 2025	D 2–2	at Real Betis Europa League

5 Oct 2025	D 0–0	v Benfica Liga Portugal
2 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v FK Crvena zvezda Europa League
29 Sep 2025	W 4–0	at FC Arouca Liga Portugal
25 Sep 2025	W 1–0	at Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
19 Sep 2025	W 3–0	at Rio Ave Liga Portugal

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	85	0	–	62.7	+14.7
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	1	0	–	60.0	–
Igor Jesus Forward	90	1	0.79	56.9	−7.1
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	1	0.96	56.2	+4.2
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.6	+9.0
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	89	0	0.02	52.6	−13.0
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	–	51.2	+1.8
Nicolò Savona Defender	46	0	–	49.6	+2.7
Neco Williams Defender	90	0	0.02	49.3	−8.3
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	90	0	0.30	49.1	−5.9
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	90	0	–	46.4	−5.9
Oleksandr Zinchenko Defender	44	0	–	44.2	–
Murillo Defender	90	0	–	42.4	−11.2
Ryan Yates Midfielder	12	0	–	32.6	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Martim Fernandes Defender	32	0.02	100.0	–
Alberto Costa Defender	76	–	65.3	+19.6
Zaidu Sanusi Defender	14	–	63.7	–
Jan Bednarek Defender	90	–	60.6	+1.7
Francisco Moura Defender	58	–	58.9	+10.3
Pepê Forward	84	–	54.7	+0.6
Borja Sainz Forward	58	0.04	53.8	+7.1
Jakub Kiwior Defender	90	0.23	53.3	+2.8
Alan Varela Midfielder	58	0.01	51.0	+4.3
Gabri Veiga Midfielder	32	–	45.0	–
Samu Aghehowa Forward	90	0.02	42.8	−9.1
Pablo Rosario Midfielder	90	0.23	41.8	−5.1
William Gomes Forward	32	0.02	40.8	–
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper	90	–	40.6	−12.3
Victor Froholdt Midfielder	90	0.03	40.5	−7.9
Rodrigo Mora Midfielder	13	–	34.0	–