Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 1.4
- Actual xG
- 0.8 – 1.2
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 43%.
Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 0.8 xG to 1.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Phil Foden, 98.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Phil Foden +34.1, Emiliano Martínez +10.5, Ezri Konsa +10.1.
Well below it: John Stones −17.9, Sávio −17.3, Erling Haaland −16.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Aston Villa
| 23 Oct 2025 | L 1–2 | at Go Ahead Eagles |
| 19 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | at Tottenham Hotspur |
| 5 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | v Burnley |
| 2 Oct 2025 | W 2–0 | at Feyenoord |
| 28 Sep 2025 | W 3–1 | v Fulham |
Manchester City
| 21 Oct 2025 | W 2–0 | at Villarreal |
| 18 Oct 2025 | W 2–0 | v Everton |
| 5 Oct 2025 | W 1–0 | at Brentford |
| 1 Oct 2025 | D 2–2 | at AS Monaco |
| 27 Sep 2025 | W 5–1 | v Burnley |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Buendía | 29 | 60.9 | – |
| Ezri Konsa | 90 | 59.8 | +10.1 |
| Emiliano Martínez | 90 | 59.6 | +10.5 |
| Matty Cash | 90 | 52.0 | +4.2 |
| Boubacar Kamara | 90 | 51.0 | −6.0 |
| Jadon Sancho | 45 | 50.0 | – |
| Morgan Rogers | 90 | 48.1 | −0.6 |
| Evann Guessand | 16 | 47.8 | – |
| Amadou Onana | 90 | 47.7 | −9.8 |
| Lucas Digne | 86 | 47.1 | −5.5 |
| Ollie Watkins | 86 | 46.4 | −1.3 |
| John McGinn | 74 | 44.9 | −4.7 |
| Pau Torres | 90 | 39.8 | −13.0 |
| Ross Barkley | 16 | 38.7 | – |
| Donyell Malen | 11 | 37.5 | – |
| Ian Maatsen | 11 | 32.1 | – |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Foden | 90 | 98.5 | +34.1 |
| Rayan Cherki | 14 | 94.8 | – |
| Jérémy Doku | 29 | 89.5 | – |
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 71.2 | +9.7 |
| Matheus Nunes | 90 | 63.8 | +4.0 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 29 | 60.5 | – |
| Nico González | 29 | 59.1 | – |
| Oscar Bobb | 61 | 53.0 | −6.5 |
| Joško Gvardiol | 90 | 51.2 | −10.4 |
| Bernardo Silva | 61 | 49.8 | −8.0 |
| Erling Haaland | 90 | 46.5 | −16.6 |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 46.0 | −4.8 |
| Sávio | 84 | 43.8 | −17.3 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 76 | 42.8 | −12.9 |
| John Stones | 61 | 40.6 | −17.9 |
| Omar Marmoush | 13 | 39.4 | – |