Premier League 25/26 · 5 Oct 2025

Aston Villa 2–1 Burnley

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 68%.

Aston Villa won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Digne, 69.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Lucas Digne +24.3.

Well below it: John McGinn −24.6, Jaidon Anthony −18.4, Matty Cash −11.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

2 Oct 2025	W 2–0	at Feyenoord Europa League
28 Sep 2025	W 3–1	v Fulham Premier League
25 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Bologna Europa League
21 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Sunderland Premier League
13 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Everton Premier League

27 Sep 2025	L 1–5	at Manchester City Premier League
20 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
14 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Liverpool FC Premier League
30 Aug 2025	L 2–3	at Manchester United Premier League
23 Aug 2025	W 2–0	v Sunderland Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ian Maatsen Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Lucas Digne Defender	90	0	0	0.13	69.9	+24.3
Donyell Malen Forward	84	2	0	0.36	61.9	+7.9
Evann Guessand Forward	23	0	0	–	59.5	–
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	0.04	53.3	+4.6
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	52.8	−4.7
Pau Torres Defender	90	0	0	0.03	51.2	−7.0
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.7	−2.4
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	1	0.25	45.1	−4.9
Amadou Onana Midfielder	13	0	0	–	44.1	–
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	89	0	0	–	43.2	–
Matty Cash Defender	84	0	0	0.01	38.3	−11.7
Ollie Watkins Forward	67	0	0	0.14	38.0	−11.1
Ross Barkley Midfielder	19	0	0	0.12	37.7	–
John McGinn Midfielder	67	0	0	0.05	37.4	−24.6
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	22	0	0	–	33.9	–
Victor Lindelöf Defender	19	0	0	–	28.9	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder	21	1	0	0.23	100.0	–
Quilindschy Hartman Defender	90	0	1	–	55.0	+8.0
Florentino Luís Midfielder	90	0	0	–	54.0	+6.4
Josh Cullen Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	52.0	+0.1
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.1	−7.5
Maxime Estève Defender	89	0	0	–	49.4	−0.1
Josh Laurent Midfielder	82	0	0	–	45.9	+3.6
Joe Worrall Defender	1	0	0	–	44.9	–
Axel Tuanzebe Defender	90	0	0	–	41.3	–
Lyle Foster Forward	69	0	0	–	41.2	−6.8
Kyle Walker Defender	90	0	0	0.08	39.6	−5.9
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder	59	0	0	–	38.4	−4.0
Armando Broja Forward	31	0	0	–	38.3	–
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder	59	0	0	–	38.1	−18.4
Zian Flemming Forward	8	0	0	0.01	36.9	–
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward	31	0	0	–	36.6	–