Premier League 25/26 · 21 Feb 2026

Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds United

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Tammy Abraham scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 50%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.4 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Anton Stach, 74.7 in 83′.

Well above their usual level: Matty Cash +12.5, Ezri Konsa +12.3, Karl Darlow +10.9.

Well below it: Ian Maatsen −17.9, Jaka Bijol −15.7, Pascal Struijk −13.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

11 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
7 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at Bournemouth Premier League
1 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Brentford Premier League
29 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Newcastle United Premier League

10 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Chelsea Premier League
6 Feb 2026	W 3–1	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
31 Jan 2026	L 0–4	v Arsenal Premier League
26 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Everton Premier League
17 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Fulham Premier League

23 Nov 2025	Leeds United 1–2 Aston Villa Premier League

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Tammy Abraham Forward	15	1	0.25	100.0	–
Ross Barkley Midfielder	29	0	0.09	77.3	–
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	29	0	–	76.0	–
Matty Cash Defender	87	0	0.01	62.9	+12.5
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0.15	62.8	+12.3
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	87	0	–	56.2	−3.3
Tyrone Mings Defender	90	0	0.10	52.0	−6.2
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	–	51.9	−2.3
Leon Bailey Forward	61	0	0.04	50.7	+0.3
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	0.07	49.8	+0.3
Ollie Watkins Forward	90	0	0.26	45.5	−11.9
Amadou Onana Midfielder	61	0	0.28	41.5	−9.5
Ian Maatsen Defender	90	0	–	39.6	−17.9
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	9	0	–	39.1	–
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	75	0	0.14	37.4	−11.6
Andrés García Defender	9	0	–	19.9	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Sean Longstaff Midfielder	13	0	–	100.0	–
Anton Stach Midfielder	83	1	0.07	74.7	+3.9
Lukas Nmecha Forward	17	0	0.51	72.5	–
Jayden Bogle Midfielder	90	0	0.01	56.3	+8.9
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper	90	0	–	55.5	+10.9
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	–	55.0	+3.5
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	90	0	0.38	53.1	−2.3
Joe Rodon Defender	90	0	0.24	50.1	+2.0
Pascal Struijk Defender	90	0	–	49.5	−13.8
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	45	0	0.06	48.2	+0.5
James Justin Defender	90	0	–	48.2	−3.8
Brenden Aaronson Forward	73	0	–	44.1	−8.1
Ilia Gruev Midfielder	90	0	0.08	41.6	−13.0
Jaka Bijol Defender	45	0	–	39.5	−15.7