UEFA Europa League 25/26 · 29 Jan 2026

Aston Villa 3–2 Red Bull Salzburg

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 81%.

Aston Villa won although Red Bull Salzburg made the better chances (2.4 xG to 1.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Karim Konaté, 88.4 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Moussa Kounfolo Yeo +17.4, Edmund Baidoo +15.6, Soumaïla Diabaté +11.3.

Well below it: Lucas Digne −15.5, Emiliano Buendía −10.7, Amadou Onana −10.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Newcastle United Premier League
22 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Fenerbahçe Europa League
18 Jan 2026	L 0–1	v Everton Premier League
7 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Crystal Palace Premier League
3 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Nottingham Forest Premier League

22 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Basel Europa League
11 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at SC Freiburg Europa League
27 Nov 2025	L 1–4	at Bologna Europa League
6 Nov 2025	W 2–0	v Go Ahead Eagles Europa League
23 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v Ferencváros TC Europa League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kadan Young Midfielder	12	0	1	–	84.4	–
Jamaldeen Jimoh Midfielder	24	1	0	0.37	69.2	–
Tyrone Mings Defender	90	1	0	0.26	66.3	+4.4
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	55	1	0	0.10	59.6	+6.4
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.7	+3.7
Matty Cash Defender	45	0	1	0.04	48.4	−2.7
Amadou Onana Midfielder	66	0	0	–	44.0	−10.6
Victor Lindelöf Defender	90	0	0	–	42.0	−5.4
Ezri Konsa Defender	24	0	0	–	41.5	–
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	78	0	0	–	40.1	−9.1
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	90	0	0	–	38.3	−6.9
Lucas Digne Defender	90	0	0	–	37.8	−15.5
Ollie Watkins Forward	35	0	0	0.03	37.1	–
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	66	0	1	0.32	36.7	−10.7
George Hemmings Midfielder	45	0	0	–	36.1	–
Harvey Elliott Midfielder	90	0	0	0.46	35.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Karim Konaté Forward	45	1	0	1.05	88.4	–
Clement Bischoff Midfielder	17	0	0	–	79.5	–
Edmund Baidoo Forward	73	0	1	0.16	65.0	+15.6
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo Midfielder	45	1	0	0.48	63.8	+17.4
Soumaïla Diabaté Midfielder	88	0	0	0.11	59.9	+11.3
Kerim Alajbegović Midfielder	73	0	1	0.03	58.7	+1.8
Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.6	−1.5
Sota Kitano Midfielder	88	0	0	0.53	47.2	+5.8
Frans Krätzig Defender	90	0	0	–	45.9	−4.7
Joane Gadou Defender	90	0	0	–	44.7	−5.0
Jannik Schuster Defender	90	0	0	–	44.3	–
Tim Trummer Defender	90	0	0	0.03	44.1	–
Oliver Lukić Midfielder	2	0	0	–	43.3	–
Mads Bidstrup Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.4	−4.1
Karim Onisiwo Forward	17	0	0	–	41.3	–
Maurits Kjaergaard Midfielder	2	0	0	–	0.0	–