Premier League 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 16% · Standout: Lucas Digne scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 63%.

Aston Villa won although Newcastle United made the better chances (2.3 xG to 1.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Youri Tielemans, 79.6 in 74′.

Well above their usual level: Sven Botman +22.7, Youri Tielemans +21.1, Sandro Tonali +16.1.

Well below it: Matty Cash −13.2, Lewis Miley −11.9, Harvey Barnes −11.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Jan 2026	W 3–0	v PSV Eindhoven Champions League
18 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Wolverhampton Premier League
7 Jan 2026	W 4–3	v Leeds United Premier League
4 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Crystal Palace Premier League
30 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Burnley Premier League

22 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Fenerbahçe Europa League
18 Jan 2026	L 0–1	v Everton Premier League
7 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Crystal Palace Premier League
3 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
30 Dec 2025	L 1–4	at Arsenal Premier League

16 Aug 2025	Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United Premier League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Sven Botman Defender	90	0.05	74.5	+22.7
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	84	0.53	65.8	+16.1
Lewis Hall Defender	90	–	63.9	+5.0
Anthony Gordon Forward	63	0.59	61.2	+4.5
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	–	56.0	−4.2
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	42	0.04	54.3	–
Nick Pope Goalkeeper	90	–	52.4	−0.0
Kieran Trippier Defender	90	–	52.0	−5.4
Lewis Miley Midfielder	90	0.18	48.6	−11.9
Joelinton Midfielder	48	0.03	48.3	−5.9
Yoane Wissa Forward	62	0.05	44.1	−8.5
Harvey Barnes Forward	90	0.77	43.9	−11.6
Anthony Elanga Forward	27	0.07	42.2	–
Joe Willock Midfielder	15	–	42.1	–
Nick Woltemade Forward	28	–	37.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lucas Digne Defender	15	0	1	–	100.0	–
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	74	0	0	–	79.6	+21.1
Victor Lindelöf Defender	10	0	0	–	77.7	–
Ollie Watkins Forward	90	1	0	0.62	70.5	+9.8
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	64.4	+11.8
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	1	0.09	60.7	+8.0
Pau Torres Defender	75	0	0	0.21	59.2	+11.4
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	75	1	0	0.17	55.7	+7.6
Ian Maatsen Defender	90	0	0	–	51.6	−2.6
Amadou Onana Midfielder	89	0	0	–	49.1	−7.0
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	47.9	−1.9
Leon Bailey Forward	31	0	0	0.02	47.3	–
Tyrone Mings Defender	15	0	0	–	45.4	–
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	16	0	0	–	45.3	–
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	59	0	0	–	43.4	−6.9
Matty Cash Defender	90	0	0	0.05	39.8	−13.2