Burnley 1–3 Newcastle United
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.0 – 1.8
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 2.4
- Goals
- 1 – 3
Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 56%.
Newcastle United won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 1.1.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joelinton, 68.0 in 89′.
Well above their usual level: Josh Laurent +21.2, Joelinton +18.8, Hjalmar Ekdal +14.7.
Well below it: Anthony Gordon −15.5, Harvey Barnes −12.5, Sandro Tonali −11.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Burnley
| 27 Dec 2025 | D 0–0 | v Everton |
| 20 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | at Bournemouth |
| 13 Dec 2025 | L 2–3 | v Fulham |
| 6 Dec 2025 | L 1–2 | at Newcastle United |
| 3 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | v Crystal Palace |
Newcastle United
| 26 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | at Manchester United |
| 20 Dec 2025 | D 2–2 | v Chelsea |
| 14 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | at Sunderland |
| 10 Dec 2025 | D 2–2 | at Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 6 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | v Burnley |
Head to head
| 6 Dec 2025 | Newcastle United 2–1 Burnley |
Burnley
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hjalmar Ekdal | 90 | 65.8 | +14.7 |
| Josh Laurent | 90 | 64.7 | +21.2 |
| Marcus Edwards | 90 | 52.6 | – |
| Florentino Luís | 88 | 52.1 | +2.3 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 88 | 49.5 | +4.7 |
| Lucas Pires | 90 | 49.2 | +1.4 |
| Armando Broja | 90 | 49.0 | +2.2 |
| Bashir Humphreys | 75 | 48.4 | – |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 16 | 43.2 | – |
| Loum Tchaouna | 74 | 42.9 | +0.7 |
| Mike Trésor | 9 | 42.1 | – |
| Kyle Walker | 90 | 41.9 | −7.1 |
| Martin Dúbravka | 90 | 41.5 | −6.0 |
| Ashley Barnes | 9 | 40.9 | – |
| Maxime Estève | 15 | 29.0 | – |
Newcastle United
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Willock | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Joelinton | 89 | 68.0 | +18.8 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 90 | 65.2 | +8.3 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 60.2 | −1.8 |
| Yoane Wissa | 80 | 59.1 | – |
| Fabian Schär | 90 | 54.8 | +1.8 |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 53.3 | −8.6 |
| Lewis Miley | 90 | 52.2 | −6.0 |
| Nick Pope | 90 | 47.6 | −9.0 |
| Jacob Murphy | 18 | 46.0 | – |
| Anthony Gordon | 80 | 42.2 | −15.5 |
| Harvey Barnes | 72 | 42.1 | −12.5 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 41.4 | −11.8 |
| Jacob Ramsey | 10 | 40.8 | – |
| Nick Woltemade | 10 | 38.5 | – |