Premier League 25/26 · 7 Jan 2026

Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.8 xG · Standout: Wilfried Gnonto scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 60%.

Newcastle United won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 2.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Anton Stach, 85.8 in 80′.

Well above their usual level: Tino Livramento +29.3, Brenden Aaronson +20.5, Ilia Gruev +19.5.

Well below it: Malick Thiaw −23.6, Lewis Hall −17.9, Nick Pope −16.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Crystal Palace Premier League
30 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Burnley Premier League
26 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Manchester United Premier League
20 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Chelsea Premier League
14 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Sunderland Premier League

4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Manchester United Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Liverpool FC Premier League
28 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Sunderland Premier League
20 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League
14 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Brentford Premier League

30 Aug 2025	Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	14	0	0	–	85.6	–
Tino Livramento Defender	45	0	0	–	79.2	+29.3
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder	90	1	1	0.79	77.2	+19.0
Lewis Miley Midfielder	90	0	0	0.52	66.1	+7.1
Harvey Barnes Forward	90	2	0	0.26	65.2	+10.4
Sven Botman Defender	45	0	1	0.16	60.4	+5.9
Joelinton Midfielder	90	1	0	0.38	60.1	+8.3
Anthony Gordon Forward	81	0	0	0.08	52.9	−1.0
Yoane Wissa Forward	15	0	0	0.20	52.4	–
Nick Woltemade Forward	75	0	1	0.22	51.8	+1.0
Fabian Schär Defender	76	0	0	0.12	46.2	−7.9
Lewis Hall Defender	90	0	0	–	44.7	−17.9
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	43.1	−9.2
Malick Thiaw Defender	45	0	0	–	38.7	−23.6
Nick Pope Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	37.0	−16.9
Jacob Murphy Midfielder	9	0	0	–	10.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sebastiaan Bornauw Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Wilfried Gnonto Forward	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Anton Stach Midfielder	80	0	0	0.07	85.8	+19.0
Brenden Aaronson Forward	89	2	0	0.23	73.6	+20.5
Noah Okafor Forward	10	0	0	–	72.4	–
Ilia Gruev Midfielder	89	0	1	–	70.5	+19.5
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	87	1	1	0.94	69.6	+13.6
Pascal Struijk Defender	90	0	0	0.38	60.9	+0.9
Lukas Nmecha Forward	17	0	0	0.16	59.9	–
Jaka Bijol Defender	90	0	0	0.04	57.0	+2.1
Ao Tanaka Midfielder	1	0	0	–	52.7	–
James Justin Defender	90	0	0	0.24	50.1	+5.1
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.2	−0.4
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.1	−1.9
Joe Rodon Defender	89	0	0	–	37.9	−15.6
Lucas Perri Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	34.8	−11.4