FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 14 Dec 2025

Brentford 1–1 Leeds United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.3 – 0.9
Actual xG
0.7 – 1.4
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Brentford favourites at 69%.

Leeds United deserved more from the draw, creating 1.4 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Pascal Struijk, 75.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jayden Bogle +27.0, Pascal Struijk +24.0, Sepp van den Berg +13.5.

Well below it: Igor Thiago −20.0, Dango Ouattara −9.7, Gabriel Gudmundsson −9.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Brentford

6 Dec 2025L 0–2at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
3 Dec 2025L 0–2at Arsenal Premier League
29 Nov 2025W 3–1v Burnley Premier League
22 Nov 2025L 1–2at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
9 Nov 2025W 3–1v Newcastle United Premier League

Leeds United

6 Dec 2025D 3–3v Liverpool FC Premier League
3 Dec 2025W 3–1v Chelsea Premier League
29 Nov 2025L 2–3at Manchester City Premier League
23 Nov 2025L 1–2v Aston Villa Premier League
9 Nov 2025L 1–3at Nottingham Forest Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Brentford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sepp van den Berg Defender9000–69.9+13.5
Kristoffer Ajer Defender900–60.2–
Michael Kayode Defender9000–57.4−3.7
Caoimhin Kelleher Goalkeeper9000–56.7+6.0
Nathan Collins Defender90000.0556.0−1.3
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder8000–51.3–
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder1000–50.3–
Jordan Henderson Midfielder90100.2648.2−3.9
Mathias Jensen Midfielder81000.0646.3−4.0
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder2900–45.0–
Aaron Hickey Defender6100–44.5−5.2
Igor Thiago Forward9000–42.4−20.0
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender61000.2141.7−0.9
Dango Ouattara Midfielder90000.1336.8−9.7
Rico Henry Defender2900–35.8–

Leeds United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
James Justin Defender100–100.0–
Wilfried Gnonto Forward1701–99.2–
Pascal Struijk Defender9000–75.4+24.0
Jayden Bogle Midfielder90000.0572.7+27.0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward90100.5463.2+11.0
Jaka Bijol Defender7300–60.7+6.9
Noah Okafor Forward89000.4858.1+6.7
Anton Stach Midfielder90000.2255.4−1.5
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder90000.0754.6+4.9
Joe Rodon Defender9000–49.4−6.6
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder8900–46.5−9.1
Brenden Aaronson Forward17000.0445.7–
Ao Tanaka Midfielder73000.0345.6−3.1
Lucas Perri Goalkeeper9000–43.2+0.1
Jack Harrison Forward100–38.1–