FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 29 Nov 2025

Brentford 3–1 Burnley

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.6 – 0.7
Actual xG
3.1 – 0.9
Goals
3 – 1

Footybot made Brentford favourites at 77%.

Brentford won and made the better chances: 3.1 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Quilindschy Hartman, 68.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Quilindschy Hartman +21.2, Zian Flemming +11.3, Kyle Walker +9.9.

Well below it: Martin Dúbravka −17.5, Michael Kayode −17.4, Jordan Henderson −17.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Brentford

22 Nov 2025L 1–2at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
9 Nov 2025W 3–1v Newcastle United Premier League
1 Nov 2025L 0–2at Crystal Palace Premier League
25 Oct 2025W 3–2v Liverpool FC Premier League
20 Oct 2025W 2–0at West Ham United Premier League

Burnley

22 Nov 2025L 0–2v Chelsea Premier League
8 Nov 2025L 2–3at West Ham United Premier League
1 Nov 2025L 0–2v Arsenal Premier League
26 Oct 2025W 3–2at Wolverhampton Premier League
18 Oct 2025W 2–0v Leeds United Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Brentford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Igor Thiago Forward89201.1761.5−1.0
Nathan Collins Defender90000.6460.7+7.6
Sepp van den Berg Defender90000.0952.4−3.6
Dango Ouattara Midfielder90100.7748.5+0.4
Aaron Hickey Defender74000.2145.6−4.7
Caoimhin Kelleher Goalkeeper9000–44.6−6.9
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder90000.1744.2−12.9
Kevin Schade Midfielder7500–43.9−9.1
Michael Kayode Defender9000–43.2−17.4
Reiss Nelson Midfielder1500–40.6–
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder1500–36.3–
Jordan Henderson Midfielder9001–35.4−17.1
Mathias Jensen Midfielder8500–34.5–
Rico Henry Defender1600–32.6–
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender900–26.9–

Burnley

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Josh Laurent Midfielder1500–100.0–
Quilindschy Hartman Defender90000.0268.7+21.2
Zian Flemming Forward90100.8565.3+11.3
Kyle Walker Defender9000–59.0+9.9
Maxime Estève Defender9000–55.7+4.9
Florentino Luís Midfielder7500–54.0+4.7
Armando Broja Forward900–46.9–
Axel Tuanzebe Defender9000–46.7−3.1
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder3000–44.7–
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward1500–44.5–
Lyle Foster Forward7500–41.8−5.3
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder1500–41.8–
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder60000.0941.2−4.7
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder7500–40.5−2.8
Josh Cullen Midfielder8100–39.6−14.4
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper9000–33.7−17.5