Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 3 Dec 2025

Leeds United 3–1 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 1.4
Actual xG
2.8 – 1.1
Goals
3 – 1

Footybot made Leeds United favourites at 40%.

Leeds United won and made the better chances: 2.8 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Malo Gusto, 98.4 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Malo Gusto +40.5, Jamie Gittens +30.3, Tosin Adarabioyo +25.4.

Well below it: Joe Rodon −20.1, Robert Sánchez −15.3, Lukas Nmecha −12.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Leeds United

29 Nov 2025L 2–3at Manchester City Premier League
23 Nov 2025L 1–2v Aston Villa Premier League
9 Nov 2025L 1–3at Nottingham Forest Premier League
1 Nov 2025L 0–3at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
24 Oct 2025W 2–1v West Ham United Premier League

Chelsea

30 Nov 2025D 1–1v Arsenal Premier League
25 Nov 2025W 3–0v FC Barcelona Champions League
22 Nov 2025W 2–0at Burnley Premier League
8 Nov 2025W 3–0v Wolverhampton Premier League
5 Nov 2025D 2–2at Qarabağ FK Champions League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Leeds United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Noah Okafor Forward23000.4866.4–
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward86101.1963.5+13.9
Anton Stach Midfielder90010.0860.8+4.4
Jaka Bijol Defender90100.0958.2+5.6
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder89000.0953.7+0.9
Joël Piroe Forward1100–51.3–
Ao Tanaka Midfielder67100.2551.1+2.8
Lucas Perri Goalkeeper9000–46.6+3.9
Lukas Nmecha Forward67000.5046.5−12.3
James Justin Defender1000–46.4–
Pascal Struijk Defender90000.1545.8−6.7
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder9000–44.6−6.1
Ilia Gruev Midfielder2300–44.5–
Jayden Bogle Midfielder8701–41.5−4.8
Joe Rodon Defender9000–38.0−20.1
Sebastiaan Bornauw Defender100–0.0–

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Malo Gusto Defender4500–98.4+40.5
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender90000.0684.4+25.4
Jamie Gittens Midfielder61010.0484.1+30.3
Alejandro Garnacho Forward2900–73.4–
Pedro Neto Midfielder45100.1668.2+5.9
Trevoh Chalobah Defender9000–67.1+15.4
Marc Cucurella Defender9000–63.2+11.1
Estêvão Midfielder45000.0662.3+1.9
Enzo Fernández Midfielder90000.1661.2+5.6
Benoît Badiashile Defender4500–59.5+3.6
João Pedro Forward90000.1656.1+4.5
Andrey Santos Midfielder7700–52.5+2.6
Liam Delap Forward61000.2947.4+1.3
Marc Guiu Forward13000.0645.6–
Cole Palmer Midfielder29000.1137.6–
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper9000–36.4−15.3