Premier League 25/26 · 6 Feb 2026

Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Leeds United favourites at 56%.

Leeds United won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Elliot Anderson, 72.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: James Justin +18.3, Morato +16.2, Elliot Anderson +15.3.

Well below it: Ola Aina −13.6, Nicolás Domínguez −8.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

31 Jan 2026	L 0–4	v Arsenal Premier League
26 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Everton Premier League
17 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Fulham Premier League
7 Jan 2026	L 3–4	at Newcastle United Premier League
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Manchester United Premier League

1 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League
29 Jan 2026	W 4–0	v Ferencváros TC Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Brentford Premier League
22 Jan 2026	L 0–1	at Sporting Braga Europa League
17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Arsenal Premier League

9 Nov 2025	Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds United Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
James Justin Defender	90	0	1	0.14	66.4	+18.3
Ilia Gruev Midfielder	90	0	2	0.29	65.9	+14.5
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	62.6	+14.2
Pascal Struijk Defender	90	0	0	0.11	61.8	−0.1
Noah Okafor Forward	82	1	0	0.77	61.3	+13.3
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.5	+13.1
Jayden Bogle Midfielder	89	1	0	0.64	57.9	+11.1
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	90	1	0	0.33	53.3	−3.2
Joe Rodon Defender	90	0	0	0.03	51.9	+5.9
Brenden Aaronson Forward	78	0	0	0.21	46.6	−6.2
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.4	−5.5
Daniel James Midfielder	12	0	0	–	35.3	–
Sebastiaan Bornauw Defender	1	0	0	–	32.1	–
Sean Longstaff Midfielder	8	0	0	–	27.8	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	36	0	1	–	99.0	–
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	23	0	0	0.07	87.6	–
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	72.7	+15.3
Lorenzo Lucca Forward	36	1	0	0.16	65.9	–
Morato Defender	90	0	0	0.43	65.2	+16.2
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	67	0	0	0.08	61.4	+11.9
Zach Abbott Defender	76	0	0	–	58.4	+15.2
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	67	0	0	0.11	54.1	+1.4
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	0	–	49.8	+1.8
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	49.2	−2.6
Ryan Yates Midfielder	23	0	0	0.02	47.1	–
Luca Netz Defender	14	0	0	–	45.5	–
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	54	0	0	0.19	43.6	−8.2
Igor Jesus Forward	54	0	0	0.09	43.0	−4.7
Ola Aina Defender	90	0	0	0.07	40.5	−13.6
Stefan Ortega Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	35.1	–