Premier League 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Brentford favourites at 61%.

Nottingham Forest won although Brentford made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Sepp van den Berg, 94.9 in 53′.

Well above their usual level: Sepp van den Berg +35.7, Dango Ouattara +28.3, Igor Jesus +17.3.

Well below it: Caoimhin Kelleher −19.7, Vitaly Janelt −14.0, Igor Thiago −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Chelsea Premier League
7 Jan 2026	W 3–0	v Sunderland Premier League
4 Jan 2026	W 4–2	at Everton Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
27 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v Bournemouth Premier League

22 Jan 2026	L 0–1	at Sporting Braga Europa League
17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Arsenal Premier League
6 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at West Ham United Premier League
3 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Aston Villa Premier League
30 Dec 2025	L 0–2	v Everton Premier League

17 Aug 2025	Nottingham Forest 3–1 Brentford Premier League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Sepp van den Berg Defender	53	0.06	94.9	+35.7
Dango Ouattara Midfielder	53	0.94	74.4	+28.3
Mathias Jensen Midfielder	90	–	73.1	+16.7
Kevin Schade Midfielder	90	0.16	54.9	+2.1
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender	9	–	53.9	–
Michael Kayode Defender	81	–	51.1	−1.9
Nathan Collins Defender	90	–	50.3	−5.2
Rico Henry Defender	67	–	50.0	+3.5
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder	81	0.13	47.9	−1.6
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder	90	0.07	47.8	−14.0
Aaron Hickey Defender	23	–	47.4	–
Igor Thiago Forward	90	0.43	45.1	−10.5
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder	37	–	43.8	–
Jordan Henderson Midfielder	9	–	43.4	–
Caoimhin Kelleher Goalkeeper	90	–	34.4	−19.7
Kristoffer Ajer Defender	37	–	34.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Taiwo Awoniyi Forward	22	1	0	0.39	100.0	–
Morato Defender	3	0	0	–	100.0	–
Igor Jesus Forward	68	1	0	0.23	63.4	+17.3
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	56.1	+0.8
Neco Williams Defender	90	0	0	–	55.4	+1.7
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.5	+3.2
Ola Aina Defender	90	0	0	–	54.4	+3.3
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	0	1	–	54.2	+5.4
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	87	0	0	–	54.1	+0.3
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	90	0	0	0.12	49.5	−1.3
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	0	–	45.9	−4.7
Murillo Defender	90	0	0	–	43.9	−10.0
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	61	0	0	0.01	42.9	−9.5
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	29	0	0	–	38.9	–