Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 4 Jan 2026

Everton 2–4 Brentford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.8 – 2.4
Goals
2 – 4

Footybot made Everton favourites at 45%.

Brentford won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Igor Thiago, 98.5 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Igor Thiago +44.4, Mathias Jensen +25.4, Jack Grealish +19.8.

Well below it: Jordan Pickford −20.1, Tyler Dibling −13.9, Aaron Hickey −10.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Everton

30 Dec 2025W 2–0at Nottingham Forest Premier League
27 Dec 2025D 0–0at Burnley Premier League
20 Dec 2025L 0–1v Arsenal Premier League
13 Dec 2025L 0–2at Chelsea Premier League
6 Dec 2025W 3–0v Nottingham Forest Premier League

Brentford

1 Jan 2026D 0–0v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
27 Dec 2025W 4–1v Bournemouth Premier League
20 Dec 2025W 2–0at Wolverhampton Premier League
14 Dec 2025D 1–1v Leeds United Premier League
6 Dec 2025L 0–2at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Everton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
James Tarkowski Defender90000.2971.6+18.6
Jack Grealish Midfielder9002–69.9+19.8
Harrison Armstrong Midfielder1300–66.8–
Beto Forward45100.1463.8+14.1
James Garner Midfielder90000.0461.6+6.5
Dwight McNeil Midfielder45000.0260.4+17.0
Merlin Röhl Midfielder45000.0459.6–
Vitaliy Mykolenko Defender9000–56.7+9.8
Jake O'Brien Defender9000–54.7+7.4
Michael Keane Defender90000.0853.7−0.9
Thierno Barry Forward90100.1149.3−0.7
Tim Iroegbunam Midfielder77000.0545.8+0.6
Tyler Dibling Midfielder45000.0836.0−13.9
Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper9000–35.0−20.1

Brentford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Igor Thiago Forward89301.7298.5+44.4
Mathias Jensen Midfielder64000.1677.5+25.4
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder90020.0169.7+8.9
Nathan Collins Defender90110.2867.7+11.9
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder9000–60.5+4.5
Michael Kayode Defender9000–57.3−0.2
Kristoffer Ajer Defender9000–56.9+1.4
Kevin Schade Midfielder64010.2354.0−0.7
Rico Henry Defender1400–53.2–
Caoimhin Kelleher Goalkeeper9000–52.9−2.8
Jordan Henderson Midfielder2600–49.1–
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder9000–49.0−0.5
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder100–48.0–
Aaron Hickey Defender7600–38.3−10.8
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender2600–32.1–