Premier League 25/26 · 1 Feb 2026

Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 48%.

Crystal Palace deserved more from the draw, creating 1.9 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ola Aina, 73.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ola Aina +22.0, Daniel Muñoz +20.9, Ismaïla Sarr +16.3.

Well below it: Neco Williams −38.4, Angus Gunn −14.8, Callum Hudson Odoi −11.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Jan 2026	W 4–0	v Ferencváros TC Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Brentford Premier League
22 Jan 2026	L 0–1	at Sporting Braga Europa League
17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Arsenal Premier League
6 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at West Ham United Premier League

25 Jan 2026	L 1–3	v Chelsea Premier League
17 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Sunderland Premier League
7 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Aston Villa Premier League
4 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Fulham Premier League

24 Aug 2025	Crystal Palace 1–1 Nottingham Forest Premier League

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Ola Aina Defender	90	0	0.05	73.5	+22.0
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0.08	70.3	+13.7
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	–	49.8	+1.5
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	1	0.20	48.2	−0.3
Murillo Defender	90	0	–	47.1	−3.8
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	90	0	–	45.7	−5.2
Morato Defender	46	0	–	43.5	−7.0
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	45	0	–	43.3	−9.2
Ryan Yates Midfielder	45	0	0.01	43.1	−7.3
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	44	0	–	42.9	–
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	45	0	–	42.2	−11.9
Igor Jesus Forward	70	0	0.12	41.5	−6.4
Angus Gunn Goalkeeper	45	0	–	39.8	−14.8
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	20	0	0.02	37.2	–
Neco Williams Defender	45	0	–	15.3	−38.4

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder	90	0	0.05	68.4	+20.9
Ismaïla Sarr Forward	90	1	1.18	66.2	+16.3
Maxence Lacroix Defender	90	0	0.05	61.7	+6.9
Will Hughes Midfielder	90	0	0.36	59.4	+8.3
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder	90	0	0.13	57.8	+11.4
Chadi Riad Defender	61	0	–	56.2	–
Chris Richards Defender	90	0	–	52.5	−3.7
Brennan Johnson Forward	90	0	0.14	51.7	+0.3
Yéremy Pino Forward	90	0	–	51.2	−5.5
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder	90	0	–	50.0	+2.9
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper	90	0	–	45.1	−3.1
Christantus Uche Forward	29	0	0.02	40.9	–