Premier League 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Chances everywhere: 4.1 xG · Standout: Yéremy Pino scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.9 – 1.0
Actual xG: 1.9 – 2.2
Goals: 1 – 3

Footybot made Crystal Palace favourites at 58%.

Chelsea won a close one on the chances: 2.2 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Marc Cucurella, 70.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Marc Cucurella +17.6, Benoît Badiashile +13.8, João Pedro +9.5.

Well below it: Adam Wharton −18.2, Dean Henderson −13.7, Brennan Johnson −10.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Crystal Palace

17 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Sunderland Premier League
7 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Aston Villa Premier League
4 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Fulham Premier League
28 Dec 2025	L 0–1	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Chelsea

21 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Pafos FC Champions League
17 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Brentford Premier League
7 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fulham Premier League
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Manchester City Premier League
30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Bournemouth Premier League

Head to head

17 Aug 2025	Chelsea 0–0 Crystal Palace Premier League

Crystal Palace

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Yéremy Pino Forward	25	0	0	0.04	100.0	–
Will Hughes Midfielder	14	0	0	–	99.8	–
Chadi Riad Defender	14	0	1	0.09	76.1	–
Maxence Lacroix Defender	90	0	0	0.15	58.0	+3.1
Chris Richards Defender	90	1	0	0.55	54.1	−2.3
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder	65	0	0	–	53.0	+7.0
Ismaïla Sarr Forward	90	0	0	0.40	51.4	+1.9
Jaydee Canvot Defender	65	0	0	–	46.2	−1.7
Brennan Johnson Forward	76	0	0	0.02	42.3	−10.5
Jean-Philippe Mateta Forward	85	0	0	0.42	42.1	−6.1
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder	90	0	0	0.22	42.1	−5.7
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder	76	0	0	–	39.9	−9.4
Borna Sosa Defender	25	0	0	–	37.2	–
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	36.3	−13.7
Adam Wharton Midfielder	72	0	0	–	35.4	−18.2
Christantus Uche Forward	15	0	0	–	27.5	–

Chelsea

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Wesley Fofana Defender	17	0	0	–	100.0	–
Jorrel Hato Defender	9	0	0	–	100.0	–
Marc Cucurella Defender	90	0	0	0.14	70.0	+17.6
Benoît Badiashile Defender	90	0	0	–	67.1	+13.8
João Pedro Forward	85	1	0	0.65	66.7	+9.5
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	1	0	0.94	64.3	+5.7
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.0	+7.2
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0	0	–	59.9	+2.3
Estêvão Midfielder	74	1	1	0.42	57.8	−2.9
Andrey Santos Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.8	+5.8
Reece James Defender	81	0	0	–	53.8	−6.8
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	73	0	0	0.05	48.5	−7.2
Pedro Neto Midfielder	74	0	0	–	46.4	−8.3
Liam Delap Forward	15	0	0	–	41.2	–
Malo Gusto Defender	16	0	0	–	40.2	–
Jamie Gittens Midfielder	16	0	0	–	25.3	–