Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 7 Feb 2026

Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Standout: Ross Barkley scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 1.0
Actual xG
2.3 – 0.4
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Bournemouth favourites at 58%.

Bournemouth deserved more from the draw, creating 2.3 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Digne, 74.0 in 86′.

Well above their usual level: Lucas Digne +21.7, Emiliano Martínez +13.9, Douglas Luiz +11.5.

Well below it: Matty Cash −18.8, Álex Jiménez −16.8, Ollie Watkins −16.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Bournemouth

31 Jan 2026W 2–0at Wolverhampton Premier League
24 Jan 2026W 3–2v Liverpool FC Premier League
19 Jan 2026D 1–1at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
7 Jan 2026W 3–2v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
3 Jan 2026L 2–3v Arsenal Premier League

Aston Villa

1 Feb 2026L 0–1v Brentford Premier League
29 Jan 2026W 3–2v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
25 Jan 2026W 2–0at Newcastle United Premier League
22 Jan 2026W 1–0at Fenerbahçe Europa League
18 Jan 2026L 0–1v Everton Premier League

Head to head

9 Nov 2025Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth Premier League

Bournemouth

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Rayan Midfielder87100.1757.2+7.2
Eli Junior Kroupi Forward65000.8656.2+0.8
Amine Adli Midfielder90000.0655.8+1.5
Lewis Cook Midfielder9000–55.7+2.9
Evanilson Forward89000.6052.3−0.2
Đorđe Petrović Goalkeeper9000–50.4+1.9
James Hill Defender9001–48.0−4.2
Ryan Christie Midfielder25000.1846.9–
Adrien Truffert Defender9000–46.7−6.4
Alex Scott Midfielder90000.1644.2−10.3
Marcos Senesi Defender90000.3043.0−8.6
David Brooks Midfielder800–39.9–
Álex Jiménez Defender8600–38.4−16.8
Adam Smith Defender900–26.9–
Enes Ünal Forward100–8.8–

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ross Barkley Midfielder1300–100.0–
Lucas Digne Defender8600–74.0+21.7
Douglas Luiz Midfielder7700–69.3+11.5
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper9000–67.8+13.9
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder900–60.0–
Morgan Rogers Midfielder90100.1258.4+7.1
Amadou Onana Midfielder9000–57.0+4.1
Jadon Sancho Midfielder77010.0955.3+5.8
Tyrone Mings Defender90000.0946.7−15.8
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder66000.0445.7−2.5
Tammy Abraham Forward900–43.1–
Ezri Konsa Defender9000–42.7−7.9
Leon Bailey Forward2400–41.4–
Ollie Watkins Forward86000.0541.2−16.4
Matty Cash Defender90000.0434.1−18.8
Ian Maatsen Defender1300–28.4–