Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Standout: Ross Barkley scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.9 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 2.3 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Bournemouth favourites at 58%.
Bournemouth deserved more from the draw, creating 2.3 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Digne, 74.0 in 86′.
Well above their usual level: Lucas Digne +21.7, Emiliano Martínez +13.9, Douglas Luiz +11.5.
Well below it: Matty Cash −18.8, Álex Jiménez −16.8, Ollie Watkins −16.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Bournemouth
| 31 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | at Wolverhampton |
| 24 Jan 2026 | W 3–2 | v Liverpool FC |
| 19 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 7 Jan 2026 | W 3–2 | v Tottenham Hotspur |
| 3 Jan 2026 | L 2–3 | v Arsenal |
Aston Villa
| 1 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | v Brentford |
| 29 Jan 2026 | W 3–2 | v Red Bull Salzburg |
| 25 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | at Newcastle United |
| 22 Jan 2026 | W 1–0 | at Fenerbahçe |
| 18 Jan 2026 | L 0–1 | v Everton |
Head to head
| 9 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth |
Bournemouth
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan | 87 | 57.2 | +7.2 |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 65 | 56.2 | +0.8 |
| Amine Adli | 90 | 55.8 | +1.5 |
| Lewis Cook | 90 | 55.7 | +2.9 |
| Evanilson | 89 | 52.3 | −0.2 |
| Đorđe Petrović | 90 | 50.4 | +1.9 |
| James Hill | 90 | 48.0 | −4.2 |
| Ryan Christie | 25 | 46.9 | – |
| Adrien Truffert | 90 | 46.7 | −6.4 |
| Alex Scott | 90 | 44.2 | −10.3 |
| Marcos Senesi | 90 | 43.0 | −8.6 |
| David Brooks | 8 | 39.9 | – |
| Álex Jiménez | 86 | 38.4 | −16.8 |
| Adam Smith | 9 | 26.9 | – |
| Enes Ünal | 1 | 8.8 | – |
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Barkley | 13 | 100.0 | – |
| Lucas Digne | 86 | 74.0 | +21.7 |
| Douglas Luiz | 77 | 69.3 | +11.5 |
| Emiliano Martínez | 90 | 67.8 | +13.9 |
| Lamare Bogarde | 9 | 60.0 | – |
| Morgan Rogers | 90 | 58.4 | +7.1 |
| Amadou Onana | 90 | 57.0 | +4.1 |
| Jadon Sancho | 77 | 55.3 | +5.8 |
| Tyrone Mings | 90 | 46.7 | −15.8 |
| Emiliano Buendía | 66 | 45.7 | −2.5 |
| Tammy Abraham | 9 | 43.1 | – |
| Ezri Konsa | 90 | 42.7 | −7.9 |
| Leon Bailey | 24 | 41.4 | – |
| Ollie Watkins | 86 | 41.2 | −16.4 |
| Matty Cash | 90 | 34.1 | −18.8 |
| Ian Maatsen | 13 | 28.4 | – |