FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 1 Feb 2026

Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.2
Actual xG
2.1 – 0.4
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 45%.

Brentford won although Aston Villa made the better chances (2.1 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Douglas Luiz, 72.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Matty Cash +21.1, Dango Ouattara +18.5, Douglas Luiz +17.6.

Well below it: Mathias Jensen −20.1, Sepp van den Berg −15.4, Vitaly Janelt −12.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Aston Villa

29 Jan 2026W 3–2v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
25 Jan 2026W 2–0at Newcastle United Premier League
22 Jan 2026W 1–0at Fenerbahçe Europa League
18 Jan 2026L 0–1v Everton Premier League
7 Jan 2026D 0–0at Crystal Palace Premier League

Brentford

25 Jan 2026L 0–2v Nottingham Forest Premier League
17 Jan 2026L 0–2at Chelsea Premier League
7 Jan 2026W 3–0v Sunderland Premier League
4 Jan 2026W 4–2at Everton Premier League
1 Jan 2026D 0–0v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Head to head

23 Aug 2025Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa Premier League

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Douglas Luiz Midfielder90000.0872.9+17.6
Matty Cash Defender90000.2371.3+21.1
Harvey Elliott Midfielder13000.1168.4–
Ian Maatsen Defender90000.1768.1+13.8
Ezri Konsa Defender90000.3160.7+11.7
Leon Bailey Forward45000.1356.9+12.5
Jadon Sancho Midfielder77000.0155.5+6.6
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder90000.3254.0+7.3
Morgan Rogers Midfielder90000.2051.6−1.2
Pau Torres Defender90000.1648.4−1.4
Tammy Abraham Forward90000.4246.0+0.2
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder4500–44.2+0.1
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper9000–43.1−12.5

Brentford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Caoimhin Kelleher Goalkeeper9000–70.4+17.3
Dango Ouattara Midfielder60100.1166.8+18.5
Nathan Collins Defender31000.0552.6–
Aaron Hickey Defender1700–51.6–
Kristoffer Ajer Defender90000.0749.6−4.8
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder9000–47.5−12.8
Michael Kayode Defender9000–47.1−6.7
Sepp van den Berg Defender9000–45.4−15.4
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender1400–43.7–
Jordan Henderson Midfielder5900–42.8−10.4
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder3000–41.9–
Igor Thiago Forward9000–41.6−12.2
Mathias Jensen Midfielder76000.0338.2−20.1
Rico Henry Defender84000.0137.1−9.8
Kevin Schade Midfielder42000.1628.8–