Premier League 25/26 · 11 Feb 2026

Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 50%.

Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 0.7 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Pascal Groß, 73.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Pascal Groß +12.7, Emiliano Martínez +9.2.

Well below it: Tyrone Mings −22.6, Ollie Watkins −18.5, Joël Veltman −15.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at Bournemouth Premier League
1 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Brentford Premier League
29 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Newcastle United Premier League
22 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Fenerbahçe Europa League

8 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League
31 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Everton Premier League
24 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fulham Premier League
19 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Bournemouth Premier League
7 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Manchester City Premier League

3 Dec 2025	Brighton & Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa Premier League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Leon Bailey Forward	30	–	72.0	–
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	–	63.3	+9.2
Ian Maatsen Defender	90	0.02	58.0	+2.4
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	60	0.09	52.6	+1.9
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0.15	51.1	+0.9
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	60	0.02	50.3	+1.9
Ross Barkley Midfielder	30	0.04	48.1	–
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	84	–	47.9	−13.2
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	90	–	44.7	+0.4
Amadou Onana Midfielder	75	0.06	44.2	−9.0
Ollie Watkins Forward	74	0.02	39.0	−18.5
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0.20	38.1	−13.3
Tyrone Mings Defender	90	0.14	38.0	−22.6
Tammy Abraham Forward	15	–	37.7	–
Victor Lindelöf Defender	13	–	33.7	–
Alysson Midfielder	16	–	32.5	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Pascal Groß Midfielder	90	0.12	73.6	+12.7
Harry Howell Midfielder	9	–	69.0	–
Kaoru Mitoma Midfielder	81	0.07	57.4	+5.3
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	–	57.0	+3.6
Olivier Boscagli Defender	29	–	53.0	–
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	61	–	52.8	−3.7
James Milner Midfielder	68	0.08	52.2	−7.6
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder	90	0.16	51.9	+5.8
Diego Gómez Midfielder	81	–	51.2	−0.1
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	–	45.8	−13.5
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	90	0.03	45.3	−5.4
Danny Welbeck Forward	81	0.05	44.1	−8.6
Carlos Baleba Midfielder	22	–	40.5	–
Charalampos Kostoulas Forward	9	–	40.0	–
Joël Veltman Defender	90	–	37.8	−15.0
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder	9	–	33.4	–