Premier League 25/26 · 7 Jan 2026

Manchester City 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 18% · Standout: Rayan Cherki scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 67%.

Manchester City deserved more from the draw, creating 2.4 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Max Alleyne, 74.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Max Alleyne +37.2, Kaoru Mitoma +21.2.

Well below it: Jérémy Doku −17.4, Matheus Nunes −14.4, Pascal Groß −11.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Chelsea Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Sunderland Premier League
27 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
20 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v West Ham United Premier League
14 Dec 2025	W 3–0	at Crystal Palace Premier League

3 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Burnley Premier League
30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at West Ham United Premier League
27 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Arsenal Premier League
20 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Sunderland Premier League
13 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at Liverpool FC Premier League

31 Aug 2025	Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City Premier League

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	17	0	0.34	100.0	–
Max Alleyne Defender	90	0	0.15	74.2	+37.2
Erling Haaland Forward	90	1	1.44	61.6	+2.9
Nathan Aké Defender	73	0	0.06	59.2	+3.4
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	90	0	0.06	57.5	−17.4
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	90	0	–	56.9	+5.2
Nico González Midfielder	64	0	0.05	56.7	+1.7
Phil Foden Midfielder	73	0	–	56.0	−6.1
Nico O'Reilly Defender	17	0	–	53.1	–
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	0	–	50.0	+1.8
Matheus Nunes Defender	73	0	–	49.4	−14.4
Rico Lewis Defender	17	0	–	49.3	–
Rodri Midfielder	26	0	–	48.9	–
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder	90	0	0.13	46.2	−9.0
Bernardo Silva Midfielder	90	0	0.12	43.6	−6.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kaoru Mitoma Midfielder	83	1	0	0.12	72.1	+21.2
Diego Gómez Midfielder	77	0	0	0.48	62.7	+6.7
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	13	0	0	–	59.3	–
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	90	0	0	0.01	55.0	−1.2
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	0	0	–	54.2	−2.9
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.8	−1.1
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	90	0	0	0.07	50.5	+0.8
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder	90	0	0	–	50.4	+5.6
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	90	0	0	–	48.6	−8.4
James Milner Midfielder	13	0	0	–	48.4	–
Pascal Groß Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	45.8	−11.4
Yasin Ayari Midfielder	83	0	1	–	45.7	−4.2
Georginio Rutter Midfielder	77	0	0	–	44.9	−5.4
Danny Welbeck Forward	13	0	0	–	42.2	–
Tom Watson Forward	13	0	0	–	42.1	–