Matchday

Premier League 26/27 · 18 Oct 2026

Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Standout: Mason Mount scored 88.2

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 1.3
Actual xG
1.4 – 0.9
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Leeds United favourites at 48%.

Leeds United deserved more from the draw, creating 1.4 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Diogo Dalot, 79.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Diogo Dalot +27.6, Noussair Mazraoui +20.9, Nico Elvedi +17.0.

Well below it: Bruno Fernandes −21.7, Lisandro Martínez −20.9, Gabriel Gudmundsson −15.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Leeds United

10 Oct 2026L 1–2at Arsenal Premier League
20 Sep 2026D 0–0v Crystal Palace Premier League
14 Sep 2026W 4–1v Newcastle United Premier League
9 Sep 2026L 3–6at Chelsea EFL Cup
5 Sep 2026D 1–1at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League

Manchester United

13 Oct 2026L 0–2at Atlético Madrid Champions League
10 Oct 2026D 1–1v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
20 Sep 2026D 1–1at Fulham Premier League
16 Sep 2026L 2–3v Brighton & Hove Albion EFL Cup
13 Sep 2026L 0–1v Manchester City Premier League

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Manchester United 1–2 Leeds United Premier League
4 Jan 2026Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United Premier League

Leeds United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sean Longstaff Midfielder900–81.9–
Nico Elvedi Defender90000.1276.9+17.0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward90100.6060.4+5.8
Tarik Muharemović Defender90010.0657.2−6.5
James Justin Defender9000–56.2+2.1
Anton Stach Midfielder90000.3456.1+2.2
Lukas Nmecha Forward16000.2155.7–
James Trafford Goalkeeper9000–52.8+2.4
Ao Tanaka Midfielder81000.0551.0+1.4
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder9000–50.5−2.6
Jayden Bogle Midfielder90000.0447.7−2.8
Noah Okafor Forward74000.0240.5−15.5
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder9000–33.5−15.7

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mason Mount Midfielder16000.0788.2–
Diogo Dalot Defender9000–79.3+27.6
Noussair Mazraoui Defender4500–77.6+20.9
Youri Tielemans Midfielder84010.0263.5+5.6
Harry Maguire Defender9000–60.9+4.7
Bryan Mbeumo Forward90100.6354.7−4.1
Matheus Cunha Forward11000.0153.6–
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper9000–50.5−1.6
Amad Diallo Midfielder90000.0748.0−4.5
Andrey Santos Midfielder9000–47.5−4.3
Leny Yoro Defender9000–47.5−9.7
Carlos Baleba Midfielder74000.0146.5−5.6
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder90000.0739.8−21.7
Lisandro Martínez Defender45000.0334.0−20.9