Premier League 26/27 · 5 Sep 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Leeds United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 4.7 xG · Standout: Costinha scored 92.2

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.8 – 0.9
Actual xG: 1.9 – 2.8
Goals: 1 – 1

Footybot made Brighton & Hove Albion favourites at 58%.

Leeds United deserved more from the draw, creating 2.8 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lewis Dunk, 78.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Lewis Dunk +18.6, Nico Elvedi +14.9, Bart Verbruggen +13.1.

Well below it: Pascal Groß −21.0, Noah Okafor −16.1, Maxim De Cuyper −14.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Brighton & Hove Albion

30 Aug 2026	L 3–4	at Chelsea Premier League
27 Aug 2026	W 4–0	v Tromsø IL Conference League
23 Aug 2026	W 4–0	v Aston Villa Premier League
20 Aug 2026	D 0–0	at Tromsø IL Conference League
24 May 2026	L 0–3	v Manchester United Premier League

Leeds United

30 Aug 2026	D 1–1	v Brentford Premier League
25 Aug 2026	W 2–0	at Nottingham Forest EFL Cup
22 Aug 2026	W 1–0	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
24 May 2026	L 0–3	at West Ham United Premier League
17 May 2026	W 1–0	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League

Head to head

17 May 2026	Leeds United 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
1 Nov 2025	Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Leeds United Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Costinha Defender	12	0	0	–	92.2	–
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	0	0	–	78.2	+18.6
Luka Vušković Defender	90	1	0	0.19	73.6	+3.7
Pascal Struijk Defender	1	0	0	–	61.3	–
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.9	+13.1
Olivier Boscagli Defender	89	0	0	–	56.5	−5.5
Yasin Ayari Midfielder	90	0	0	0.14	51.3	+3.8
Malick Yalcouyé Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	49.0	+2.5
Diego Gómez Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	48.2	−4.4
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	77	0	1	–	46.8	−14.7
Charalampos Kostoulas Forward	90	0	0	0.44	45.8	−1.6
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	78	0	0	0.10	44.0	−2.1
Pascal Groß Midfielder	90	0	0	0.61	43.2	−21.0
Promise David Forward	13	0	0	0.27	42.7	–

Leeds United

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nico Elvedi Defender	90	0	0	–	68.8	+14.9
Harry Wilson Midfielder	17	0	0	–	67.3	–
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	73	0	0	0.83	63.0	+10.7
Jayden Bogle Midfielder	61	1	0	0.90	61.3	+11.0
Lukas Nmecha Forward	17	0	0	0.11	60.6	–
Jaka Bijol Defender	29	0	0	–	60.5	–
Tarik Muharemović Defender	90	0	0	–	57.9	+3.7
Anton Stach Midfielder	90	0	0	0.32	55.6	−1.4
Ao Tanaka Midfielder	73	0	1	0.53	55.1	−1.8
James Justin Defender	90	0	0	0.13	53.7	+2.7
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.3	−1.4
James Trafford Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.1	−1.9
Noah Okafor Forward	62	0	0	–	42.4	−16.1
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.0	−3.8
Brenden Aaronson Forward	28	0	0	–	38.7	–