FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 26/27 · 22 Aug 2026

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jul 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.6 – 0.5
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 53%.

Leeds United won a close one on the chances: 0.5 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jaka Bijol, 66.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Murillo +18.7, Jaka Bijol +14.9, James Justin +14.1.

Well below it: Dan Ndoye −14.1, Morgan Gibbs-White −13.0, Jayden Bogle −12.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Nottingham Forest

24 May 2026D 1–1v Bournemouth Premier League
17 May 2026L 2–3at Manchester United Premier League
10 May 2026D 1–1v Newcastle United Premier League
7 May 2026L 0–4at Aston Villa Europa League
4 May 2026W 3–1at Chelsea Premier League

Leeds United

24 May 2026L 0–3at West Ham United Premier League
17 May 2026W 1–0v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
11 May 2026D 1–1at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
1 May 2026W 3–1v Burnley Premier League
22 Apr 2026D 2–2at Bournemouth Premier League

Head to head

6 Feb 2026Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest Premier League
9 Nov 2025Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds United Premier League

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Murillo Defender8900–61.7+18.7
James McAtee Midfielder7400–59.0+7.4
Nikola Milenković Defender90000.1158.2+8.2
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder90000.0256.9+9.4
Neco Williams Defender9000–55.3+1.8
Ola Aina Defender74000.0451.3+3.8
Jair Defender9000–51.0+7.5
Igor Jesus Forward90000.2448.9−1.8
Chris Wood Forward28000.0746.9–
Xaver Schlager Midfielder1600–43.3–
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder90000.1742.6−13.0
Matz Sels Goalkeeper9000–41.3−11.5
Luca Netz Defender1600–36.9–
Arnaud Kalimuendo Forward100–36.9–
Dan Ndoye Midfielder6200–36.9−14.1

Leeds United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Noah Okafor Forward2400–69.0–
Jaka Bijol Defender90000.1366.5+14.9
James Justin Defender9000–60.7+14.1
Anton Stach Midfielder90100.0957.0−3.9
Joe Rodon Defender90000.0355.2+5.5
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder9000–53.8+1.1
James Trafford Goalkeeper9000–53.5+10.2
Tarik Muharemović Defender90000.0948.6−3.8
Harry Wilson Midfielder6600–46.2−11.9
Brenden Aaronson Forward82000.0245.2−4.4
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward90000.1340.7−11.4
Jayden Bogle Midfielder9000–39.4−12.8
Sean Longstaff Midfielder800–39.0–