Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle United
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Harvey Barnes scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 1.5
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 49%.
A draw the chances agree with: 1.1 xG to 1.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Sven Botman, 70.1 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Joelinton +13.6, Nick Pope +10.6, Luca Netz +8.7.
Well below it: Jacob Murphy −16.4, Taiwo Awoniyi −14.1, Nicolás Domínguez −14.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Nottingham Forest
| 7 May 2026 | L 0–4 | at Aston Villa |
| 4 May 2026 | W 3–1 | at Chelsea |
| 30 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | v Aston Villa |
| 24 Apr 2026 | W 5–0 | at Sunderland |
| 19 Apr 2026 | W 4–1 | v Burnley |
Newcastle United
| 2 May 2026 | W 3–1 | v Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 25 Apr 2026 | L 0–1 | at Arsenal |
| 18 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | v Bournemouth |
| 12 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | at Crystal Palace |
| 22 Mar 2026 | L 1–2 | v Sunderland |
Head to head
| 5 Oct 2025 | Newcastle United 2–0 Nottingham Forest |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Hutchinson | 26 | 79.7 | – |
| Matz Sels | 90 | 56.0 | +3.9 |
| Elliot Anderson | 90 | 54.2 | +1.1 |
| Luca Netz | 83 | 50.3 | +8.7 |
| Ryan Yates | 45 | 49.2 | +1.0 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | 15 | 47.9 | – |
| Chris Wood | 17 | 47.8 | – |
| James McAtee | 15 | 47.8 | – |
| Igor Jesus | 83 | 47.1 | −5.8 |
| Dilane Bakwa | 64 | 47.0 | −7.0 |
| Morato | 90 | 47.0 | −3.0 |
| Nikola Milenković | 90 | 45.6 | −5.2 |
| Jair | 90 | 44.2 | −1.8 |
| Neco Williams | 90 | 42.6 | −11.1 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 73 | 42.4 | −14.1 |
| Nicolás Domínguez | 45 | 40.5 | −14.0 |
Newcastle United
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvey Barnes | 29 | 100.0 | – |
| Kieran Trippier | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Jacob Ramsey | 29 | 72.1 | – |
| Sven Botman | 90 | 70.1 | +7.1 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 89 | 69.4 | +5.9 |
| Joelinton | 90 | 64.7 | +13.6 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 58.2 | +4.2 |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 58.0 | +1.2 |
| Nick Pope | 90 | 56.8 | +10.6 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 55.5 | +5.6 |
| Dan Burn | 90 | 52.0 | −1.5 |
| William Osula | 71 | 50.5 | −1.6 |
| Nick Woltemade | 61 | 49.3 | +3.3 |
| Yoane Wissa | 19 | 47.8 | – |
| Jacob Murphy | 61 | 31.3 | −16.4 |