Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 19 Apr 2026

Nottingham Forest 4–1 Burnley

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.2 – 0.7
Actual xG
1.2 – 0.4
Goals
4 – 1

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 71%.

Nottingham Forest won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Igor Jesus, 65.8 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Igor Jesus +17.9.

Well below it: Neco Williams −28.5, Ola Aina −20.9, Elliot Anderson −20.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Nottingham Forest

16 Apr 2026W 1–0v FC Porto Europa League
12 Apr 2026D 1–1v Aston Villa Premier League
9 Apr 2026D 1–1at FC Porto Europa League
22 Mar 2026W 3–0at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
19 Mar 2026W 2–1at FC Midtjylland Europa League

Burnley

11 Apr 2026L 0–2v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
21 Mar 2026L 1–3at Fulham Premier League
14 Mar 2026D 0–0v Bournemouth Premier League
3 Mar 2026L 0–2at Everton Premier League
28 Feb 2026L 3–4v Brentford Premier League

Head to head

20 Sep 2025Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest Premier League

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder1001–94.7–
Igor Jesus Forward45100.2365.8+17.9
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder89300.7361.0+7.7
Ryan Yates Midfielder1401–60.5–
Matz Sels Goalkeeper9000–47.0−4.6
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder9000–43.1−7.1
Jair Defender4800–43.0−6.3
Murillo Defender4200–41.6–
Morato Defender1100–41.3–
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder8801–39.6−11.1
Elliot Anderson Midfielder9000–38.2−20.6
Nikola Milenković Defender9000–38.2−9.4
Chris Wood Forward76000.1538.2−12.1
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder4500–37.5−18.2
Ola Aina Defender9000–29.8−20.9
Neco Williams Defender90000.0729.7−28.5

Burnley

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
James Ward-Prowse Midfielder90000.0460.9−0.4
Armando Broja Forward1500–60.4–
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender9000–56.3+5.6
Zian Flemming Forward84100.1753.7+1.5
Quilindschy Hartman Defender9001–52.7+6.4
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder8300–49.1−4.5
Josh Laurent Midfielder1600–48.3–
Florentino Luís Midfielder8300–47.9−0.4
Lyle Foster Forward26000.0947.2–
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder7600–45.7+2.0
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward1400–44.2–
Maxime Estève Defender90000.0642.1−10.4
Marcus Edwards Forward6400–41.8−6.1
Kyle Walker Defender9000–41.2−2.8
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder1600–35.7–
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper9000–24.9−16.9